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8/16/05 Tuesday MLB Plays I am losing customers quick and for good reason. I have not been winning lately. In fact, the past 30 days have been downright torrid. I have been doing alright with my higher rated plays so here's hoping today will continue.

Cincinnati Reds +108 over San Francisco Giants (1.5 Units) It is no surprise that we would back the Reds here today. First, we see them as dogs. Second, the Giants are not a great team on the road as 26-33. Jason Schmidt is living off of last season's success and the spreads all show that. The Reds lost yesterday and we can expect them to come back and play well at home today. They have been smashing the heck out of the ball, winning like crazy. The Reds home record has started to dip lately but their road success figures to seep into today's game.

Cincinnati Reds - San Francisco Giants OVER total (1.0 Units) I like this over because the Giants are actually pretty decent against lefthanders. They are a torrid -15 units against right handers in non-divisional games but positive units against lefties in non-divisional games. The Reds will score but I expect the Giants to do so as well.

>Regarding not playing the Cleveland Indians I went against K. Rogers in his last game and actually won that game ;-). I am not so sure I want to go against him again. Plus, I believe the price to pay for the Indians is pretty steep. Anyways, I will look into those systems you mentioned and investigate but I am always worried about taking a team coming off being swept.

I checked it and I see that American League home favorites in the first game of a series having lost its last 3 home games with more than 0 days rest is only 27-26. In fact, with zero days rest they would be 61%. This is a trend that I have been noticing that teams actually do better playing the next day as opposed to getting a days rest. Who knows, Cleveland may be rusty today and bring their struggling ways into this game.

 

 

August 16, 2005 Free Picks

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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