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Thursday's MLB Picks July 7, 2005 Inbox Currently ranked #2.

7 Picks for Thursday

Kansas City Royals +165 over Minnesota Twins (1.5 Units) I am sure you all know that the Royals stink but here is a small situational advantage for the Royals today. The Royals, off a series win versus the Seattle Mariners are staying at home with confidence. The Twins, coming off a series loss have to travel from beautiful sunny California (Anaheim) to go East to play a Kansas City team that is better rested. This issue has not been taken into account in the spread, in fact, the Twins line will be shaded too much due to public perception. Although we admit the Twins have a better percentage chance to win, the Royals at +165 is a steal and pure value. I am utilizing a baseball betting system that has gone 11-4 this season and has never had a losing season in the past 6 years. Result: Pending

Los Angeles Dodgers -115 over Colorado Rockies (1.5 Units) We backed the Rockies heavily two days ago off a loss. They are off a loss again today but we are changing pace and backing the Dodgers. You see, the Rockies smack around lefty starting pitchers but the Dodgers are putting out Derek Lowe a strong right hander. The Dodgers keep up their momentum and take the series. Result: Pending

Toronto Blue Jays +135 over Oakland Athletics (1.0 Units) The Oakland Athletics have such a poor offense that they truly never should be a -150. Anyways, they are even worse against lefties on the road. Gustavo Chacin has been pitching well at times so a play here on the underdog Blue Jays is worth it. The winner of this game decides the winner of this series and we feel a +130 is well worth the risk. Result: Pending

Boston Redsox -113 over Baltimore Orioles (1.5 Units) The Red Sox did a tough thing and that win a road series at the Rangers. They have won 9 of 10 road games. The Orioles, on the hand, are self-destructing at the seams. They have been playing poorly. The Orioles are 24-19 at home but are 7-8 at home versus Lefties. David Wells has a strong opportunity to pitch well. Result: Pending

New York Yankees -1.5 RUNLINE +105 over Cleveland Indians (1.0 Units) FREE PICK I am a big Cleveland Indians fan. I have gone 4-0 the past 7 days backing them but I will be going against them today. They are in a tough spot having lost two games in a row to the Tigers and then having to travel to Yankee Stadium where the Yankees have been rocking. Jeter got snubbed from the All Star game so he has potential for a breakout game. What is most important to note is that the Yankees scored 25 runs their past 2 home games against the Orioles. When the Yankees win at home, they beat the run line by about 80% of the time. We like our chances today in the first game of the series where we know home teams have the advantage and backing Mike Mussina who has been highly consistent. Result: Pending

St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 RUNLINE -115 over Arizona Diamondbacks (1.0 Units) FREE PICK We like the Cardinals in this spot getting the road 4-game sweep. Result: Pending

Washington Nationals -115 over New York Mets (1.5 Units) PREMIUM I am giving away this Premium pick because it is an early morning game. We backed the Nationals in our Game of the Year on Tuesday and for many of the same reasons we are backing them here today. The analysis is reserved for EasyBaseballBetting.com members. Result: Pending

 

July 07, 2005 Free Picks

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Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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