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Friday July 15 MLB Picks 2-1 yesterday, sweeping our premium picks and going +1.95 Units for the day. One of the other members of my team brought the Devil Rays at +180 to our attention yesterday as being a good play. Under normal conditions it would have been a play. But this season, we have noticed a larger home field advantage and with the D-rays being more than 25 games below 500 on the road alone, we scratched them from the list. Our plays on Philadelphia and Milwaukee were home field advantage based.

Anyways, onto the plays for Friday.

Only 3 plays today:

Kansas City Royals +160 over Detroit Tigers (1.0 Units) Changing pace from yesterday where we backed only home teams, we are backing a large road dog. The Tigers are 12-19 at home against right handed pitching. Hardly anything to smile about. It is true that the Royals are 7-20 on the road versus righties themselves but we see a near 50% betting angle for road dogs against division rivalries at work here for the Royals.

Chicago Cubs - Pittsburgh Pirates OVER total (1.0 Units) We are going to see too much respect given to Kerry Wood here today. His ERA is near 5.00. The Pirates struggles offensively coming into today historically have combined with the "too much respect" angle and has yielded an over percentage of 58% over the past 7 years. This is the reason the over/under has not been posted for this game yet.

New York Yankees - Boston Redsox OVER 10.5 runs (1.5 Units) The Red Sox average 6.8 runs per game at home against right handed pitching if coming off a loss dating back to last year. The Yankees average 6 runs per game on the road versus lefties dating back to last year. With a total at 10.5, the game will sail over the total if both teams score at least 5 runs. Tim Redding has a very very daunting task at hand facing a Red Sox team off a loss. Watch out, the Red Sox could single-handedly make this game sail over by themselves. I imagine the juice might get too high. If so, drop this play down to a 1.0 unit.

 

July 15, 2005 Free Picks

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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