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Monday July 25 MLB Pick (1 Pick) A 2-2 -0.85 Units day.

When Aramis Ramirez hit that 2-run HR in the 8th, I am sure we all cringed. Larussa managed the game exactly as I suspected by aggressively using his bullpen. With no game tomorrow and coming off a home loss, La Russa did the best he could by changing up his bullpen almost every batter to get better matchups.

The Cubs are a scary team to go against because they can hit HRs and a HR can change the game completely. I am 7-11 this season going against the Cubs so this is definitely something I will be more cautious with.

Our Monday Pick I only have one play for today and it is a 1.5 unit play.

Detroit Tigers -110 over Seattle Mariners (1.5 Units) Please! The Tigers are only -110 on the road today with Nate Robertson on the mound? Robertson has a 3.32 ERA in 19 season starts. His W/L record sucks but the Tigers offense had been so bad for so long. Now they are picking up. The Tigers showed me something in Game 5 and that is they have heart. We bet against them yesterday because it was the 5th game of a series where home field advantage we felt was nullified. With the Twins off Monday and the Tigers having to play, the advantage clearly went to the Twins. But these Tigers battled at home. The Tigers get love at home and this spread would have been -150. But because they are on the road, there is no love. They are still 25-23 on the road. Take the nice value here as we see a good performance by the lefty Robertson as we see the Mariners only averaging 3.9 runs per game at home versus lefties. They average 4.2 runs per game at home versus righties. The only thing keeping this from being a GOM or even a GOY is that the Tigers do not do so well against righties. Look at their lineup, they are built to BEAT lefties. I guess that is why the Tigers are 8-1 against lefties on the road.

Good luck.

 

July 25, 2005 Free Picks

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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