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6/12/05 EasyBaseball Sunday Picks [4 Premium Plays]

Spurs-Pistons Under 170.5 (3.0 Units)
We see incredible value getting the total at 171. The NBA rarely makes games with a lower total and this is a perfect example of a situation where they SHOULD! First of all, the Spurs, winners of Game 1 only scored 85 points in Game 1, if doubled would not even match this total. Second, the Pistons are focusing their attention to their Defense in preparation for Game 2. The NBA Finals is notorious for having many unders. The under is 46-24 over the past 9 seasons in the NBA Finals Game 2 and beyond. Game 1's tend to be the highest scoring of games. For game 1 to total only 154 points, we expect to see a dogfight and are doubting Game 1's total to be beat by 17 points! Here are some additional angles to consider:

  • Spurs Home Game playoffs unders are 25-14-1.
  • Pistons Road Game Unders are 18-10-1.
When both teams in the NBA Finals have a 68% record or better, our system for the under becomes 22-6-2. When the total is set to 185 or less, this system has gone 12-0-2 for the Under spanning the past 9 seasons. This is an extremely good bet and the Unders in this series will only get better as the Series moves forward. Get the Total at 171 at Intertops.
Result: Pending

Baltimore Orioles -123 over Cincinnati Reds (2.0 Units)
I am following a system in baseball that involves going for Road Favorites less than -130 coming off a loss to the team it is currently playing that has gone 62-29 over the past 7 seasons including 6-3 this season. We expect to see Sydney Ponson step up today and give the Orioles the series against the Reds.
Result: Pending

Chicago White Sox -118 over San Diego Padres (2.0 Units)
Going against a home team in an interleague game averaging 2 or fewer runs over their past 4 games is 23-13 over the past 6 years. 1-1 this series. Today is an even stronger play than yesterday as their are pitching-hitting angles that bring this up to a 2 unit play. We expect the White Sox hitters to wake up.
Result: Pending

St. Louis Cardinals -128 over New York Yankees (1.5 Units)
With Carl Pavano's performance this year, we should not see the Cardinals less than -160. That is okay, we will see the Cardinals bat light him up after getting shut out yesterday and tap the weak odds. We are utilizing a 27-13 system for small home favorites against a team they are coming off a loss to.
Result: Pending

 

 

 

June 12, 2005 Free Picks

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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