6/21/05 Tuesday's MLB Picks: Over/Under New York Yankees - Tampa Bay Devil Rays Over 9 (1.0 Units)This is a bit low because of Randy Johnson. We see the Yankees easily getting 6 here tomorrow and they may get more. If the Devil Rays can even get a few runs, this game will easily sail over the total. I am following a system that has me convinced by going 83-53 for the OVER the past 6 seasons. It improves when our home team is a huge favorite as it is today. That is an indication of a weak opposing pitcher. The O/U has to stay modest for the novice bettors seeing Randy Johnson pitching and tempted to bet the under but we will take the value and bet the Over.

Los Angeles Dodgers +125 over San Diego Padres [1.0 units] We have seen the unders in this series over the past 3.5 years hit above 60% of the time. We expected a low scoring game yesterday between these clubs and expect another one today. In a low scoring game, anyone can win, especially in a division rivalry game. At +125 today, the Dodgers are the value play. As we have seen, the underdog in this rivalry if coming off a loss to the opposing team is 15-12 over the past 6 years. Getting a dog to win over 50% is sweet.

Yankees - Devil Rays Over 9 (+105) [1.0 units]