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9/3/05 Saturday's MLB Picks (4)
3-1 yesterday. Let's hope our 4 plays go 3-1 or 4-0 today.
Boston Redsox -170 over Baltimore Orioles (1.0 Units)
We want to take the Red Sox at home any chance we can if they are off a loss against the same team they are facing as they are 42-13 (+24 units) in this situation over the past 3 seasons.
San Diego Padres -125 over Milwaukee Brewers (2.0 Units)
11-2 Good system for road favorites off of double digit loss against a below 500 team. 53-16 system for road favorites against non-divisional rivals off a loss to the current team with a bunch of different criteria that can fill a page that has gone 21-6 Last 3 years.
Cleveland Indians +150 over Minnesota Twins (1.0 Units)
The Indians have been absolutely smashing. They are one of the hottest teams in the league right now. They are barely over 500 versus lefties but have been smashing them lately. Johan Santana is great but we see an Indians team that had been averaging greater than 6-7 runs in their last 6 outings versus lefties. Past statistics indicate that these Indians actually have a 48-52% chance of winning but to get them at +150 is a gift!! We are utilizing a system that is only 11-11 this season but +5 Units going for teams with momentum on their side that are huger road dogs than 135. We get the added bonus of seeing this Indians team motivated to get into the wild card.
Another play on the board that we like is:
Houston Astros -102 over St. Louis Cardinals (1.5 Units)
No matter how I try to analyze this game, I see a lot of bright spots for the Houston Astros . We want to ride the tail of the Rocket tonight at home with the Astros in a heated wild card rivalry. Again, these games do not mean as much for the Cardinals who self-destructed 3 leads yesterday and lost. We got paid nicely with the Astros yesterday and will be looking to get paid again with today's games. I am playing on a system that is strong for home underdogs riding momentum especially game 100 and beyond that hits over 50%.
September 03, 2005 Free Picks