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9/6/05 Tuesday's MLB Pick (1)
Again, only 1 pick for today.

Atlanta Braves -110 over New York Mets (1.5 Units)
We bet on the Giants yesterday citing momentum as the key. When you're winning like the Giants had been, things go right. When you're losing (coming off getting swept by the Rockies) you committ errors, lose focus, etc. These Mets are in a tailspin as they are 2-7 L9. The Braves are 4-1 L5 with that one loss being an extra inning affair. The Braves are heating off and the Mets are cooling down. We know Pedro is pitching today but as I usually say, it does not matter who is pitching for you when you fail to score runs. The Mets have been struggling offensively. We also see Smoltz in today's matchup, so a pitcher's duel like this benefits the home team. I am utilizing a system for really small home favorites in the 120s and lower range that hits at a 66% clip. If the teams are division rivals, it improves to 20-4 L7 years.

 

September 06, 2005 Free Picks

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Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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