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9/29/05 Thursday's MLB Picks

Cleveland Indians -260 over Tampa Bay Devil Rays (1.5 Units) Game of the Year
With a spread of -260, you know you are betting on a team that is highly likely to win. Let's start out by saying why this is still worth of a play. The Indians are on a 3-game losing streak to some pretty bad teams but each of those losses were by exactly 1-run. History bodes well for teams off of 3 consecutive one run losses.The Indians were shut out yesterday. Teams off a shut out loss this season has been money. The Indians also have their ace on the mound in CC Sabathia. The Devil Rays are 7-21 on the road versus lefties and vastly superior against righties. Lefties have their number and with Sabathia pitching in a must-win home atmosphere, we like our chances. That's not all. The Indians are about a 500 team at home versus righties but at home versus lefties are a 17-12 ball club. Make C.C. Sabathia listed pitcher.

Milwaukee Brewers -140 over Cincinnati Reds (1.0 Units)
Expect the Brewers to finish off these Reds at home. The Brewers have been playing pretty well, above 500 baseball for a while. In fact, their record is at 500 exactly right now so you can guarantee they will be looking to finish this series above 500 and avenge yesterday's loss. They are going against Eric Milton, who gives us too many homeruns.

Texas Rangers -108 over Seattle Mariners (1.0 Units)
Let's continue to back these Rangers looking for a rare 3-game road sweep. Not only do we have Kenny Rogers pitching, a favorable line, we know that these Mariners are a miserable 6-17 -9 Units against Lefties as an underdog.

New York Yankees -172 over Baltimore Orioles (1.0 Units)
We keep bouncing back and forth in this series picking the loser in the past 2 games. The Orioles should have come up with a win yesterday. Anyways, I expect these Yankees to keep their momentum by getting a much needed win just to keep pace with the Red Sox and Indians. Aaron Small has been a godsend for these Yankees by going 9-0. The Yankees offense did not do much yesterday but still got a win. They are likely to break out for many runs today just as they did against Bruce Chen because we see them against a lefty today as well. Make it listed pitchers for A. Small and E. Bedard.

 

 

September 29, 2005 Free Picks

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Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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