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This is a document only! It is meant for you to learn how to handicap baseball. If you want the daily picks, sign up for our monthly service. See 2 Free Samples!
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Fade the Heavy Favorite
Our statistics are very favorable when going against a team that was swept. Check this out, going for a +150 or higher dog in a non-divisional rivalry game is 42-48, +26 units over the past 13 seasons if their opponent is coming off of being swept. Only two losing seasons the past 12 years. Now we exclude divisional rivalry games for a very important reason. Since our pick is predicated on the fact that the opponent is struggling, teams can tend to turn things around if they are facing a hated foe better than if they fought any average Joe team. Meaning these Rockies would be more likely to bounce back against someone from the NL West than from the NL East.
Past Results for this System
| Year | Record | Win | Units | E[X] |
|---|
| 2012 | 6-8 | 0.428571 | 2.620000 | 0.187143 |
| 2011 | 3-7 | 0.300000 | -1.840000 | -0.184000 |
| 2010 | 6-12 | 0.333333 | -0.830000 | -0.046111 |
| 2009 | 3-6 | 0.333333 | -1.270000 | -0.141111 |
| 2008 | 4-4 | 0.500000 | 3.410000 | 0.426250 |
| 2007 | 5-9 | 0.357143 | -0.410000 | -0.029286 |
| 2006 | 10-9 | 0.526316 | 7.940000 | 0.417895 |
| 2005 | 6-7 | 0.461538 | 3.160000 | 0.243077 |
| 2004 | 3-8 | 0.272727 | -2.150000 | -0.195455 |
| 2003 | 8-8 | 0.500000 | 5.760000 | 0.360000 |
| 2002 | 5-13 | 0.277778 | -4.020000 | -0.223333 |
| 2001 | 4-12 | 0.250000 | -5.090000 | -0.318125 |
| 2000 | 6-6 | 0.500000 | 4.210000 | 0.350833 |
| 1999 | 7-7 | 0.500000 | 6.050000 | 0.432143 |
| Total | 76-116 | 0.395833 | 17.540000 | 0.091354 |
|---|
Total Scores: 826.000000-1039.000000, average Margin of Victory: -1.109375. Pt. MOV: 0.000000
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Free Football Picks
Updated: 10/27/12
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