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Free Home Underdogs Betting System
Baseball System:
Go for a home underdog in a division rivalry game that has won 6+ games L10 that has 2 more home wins than home losses.
Past Years Results:
Past Results for this System
| Year | Record | Win | Units | E[X] |
|---|
| 2012 | 4-3 | 0.571429 | 1.980000 | 0.282857 |
| 2011 | 16-17 | 0.484848 | 2.850000 | 0.086364 |
| 2010 | 16-27 | 0.372093 | -8.530000 | -0.198372 |
| 2009 | 9-18 | 0.333333 | -7.330000 | -0.271481 |
| 2008 | 29-30 | 0.491525 | 3.980000 | 0.067458 |
| 2007 | 17-23 | 0.425000 | -2.510000 | -0.062750 |
| 2006 | 24-27 | 0.470588 | 1.600000 | 0.031373 |
| 2005 | 15-28 | 0.348837 | -8.770000 | -0.203953 |
| 2004 | 25-19 | 0.568182 | 13.810000 | 0.313864 |
| 2003 | 25-17 | 0.595238 | 12.650000 | 0.301190 |
| 2002 | 30-22 | 0.576923 | 13.900000 | 0.267308 |
| 2001 | 31-19 | 0.620000 | 18.350000 | 0.367000 |
| 2000 | 22-13 | 0.628571 | 13.350000 | 0.381429 |
| 1999 | 15-12 | 0.555556 | 5.950000 | 0.220370 |
| Total | 278-275 | 0.502712 | 61.280000 | 0.110814 |
|---|
Total Scores: 2564.000000-2802.000000, average Margin of Victory: -0.430380. Pt. MOV: 0.000000
Analysis:
Blindly betting on home underdogs in a division rivalry game will have won you money almost every year. This is one angle that narrows down the field to a smaller number of games to bet on. Our home underdog is an above average home team which basically narrows down poor home teams. We also constrain our system to teams that are on a roll with 6+ wins. Momentum is important and we have a very undervalued team here.
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