System:
Go for any home team with a better than 50% home record in the first game of a series if they are more than 10 games below 500 and going up against a team that has won less than 6 games L10.
Past Years Results:
Year Record Units
1999: 4-1 +2.70
2000: 8-5 +4.15
2001: 2-0 +2.25
2002: 14-5 +13.35
2003: 5-2 +4.05
Total: 33-13 +26.50
Average Margin of Victory: 1.46 Runs
Analysis:
This is a contrarion play because we are going for a team that is more than 10 games below 500. Joe public does not want to bet on a team that is so bad. But what the don't realize is that their good home record coupled with the added home field advantage of the first game of a series, this makes a decent play.
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