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Free 91-39 (70%) +40 Unit MLB System
We have been betting on baseball a long time and there are a few things that have served us well over the years.
- A. Try to bet on home teams in the first game of a series.
- B. Bet on teams with momentum.
- C. Bet against struggling teams.
- D. Go against teams on long road trips.
We never really quantified the road trip issue until now. So here are the results of our statistical analysis.
Win Percentages
- Road Teams (1st Road Series): 46.4%
- Road Teams (2nd Road Series): 46.5%
- Road Teams (3rd Road Series): 45.3%
- Road Teams (4th Road Series): 44.8%
Now that we have quantified the results, we see that teams are not really affected by being on the road unless they get into their third and fourth road series. In fact, blindly going against teams in their third and fourth road series in the 2005 season was 205-144 +22 units! This makes for a good go against angle and is the building blocks for the system here.
Using angle A. above as a constraining system, we find ourselves having a 436-335, +33 unit system over the 7 full seasons dating from 1999-2005. Using a variant of Angle C by going against teams off having been swept, we find ourselves with our killer 91-39, +40 unit system with no losing seasons. As of May 7, 2006 this system has gone 2-0 this season.
It is pretty simple to remember.
I. Go against teams on their third or fourth road trips if it is the first game of the series if they were swept in their earlier series.
And if you exclude non-division rivalry games in which our team has to face a pitcher of a different pitching orientation, the system improves to 74% over the past 7 years. It is on a pretty decent run lately as it has gone 44-12 (79%) over the past 5 seasons.
Past Results for this System
| Year | Record | Win | Units | E[X] |
|---|
| 2012 | 6-2 | 0.750000 | 3.430000 | 0.428750 |
| 2011 | 9-7 | 0.562500 | 0.660000 | 0.041250 |
| 2010 | 12-6 | 0.666667 | 3.430000 | 0.190556 |
| 2009 | 4-5 | 0.444444 | -1.210000 | -0.134444 |
| 2008 | 14-8 | 0.636364 | 3.380000 | 0.153636 |
| 2007 | 8-10 | 0.444444 | -4.800000 | -0.266667 |
| 2006 | 11-4 | 0.733333 | 5.730000 | 0.382000 |
| 2005 | 15-3 | 0.833333 | 9.300000 | 0.516667 |
| 2004 | 11-7 | 0.611111 | 1.950000 | 0.108333 |
| 2003 | 16-7 | 0.695652 | 7.600000 | 0.330435 |
| 2002 | 12-3 | 0.800000 | 8.650000 | 0.576667 |
| 2001 | 8-1 | 0.888889 | 7.100000 | 0.788889 |
| 2000 | 13-9 | 0.590909 | 2.850000 | 0.129545 |
| 1999 | 16-9 | 0.640000 | 2.500000 | 0.100000 |
| Total | 155-81 | 0.656780 | 50.570000 | 0.214280 |
|---|
Total Scores: 1261.000000-930.000000, average Margin of Victory: 1.402542. Pt. MOV: 0.000000
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This has a great Return on your Investment. The $100 bettor wins better than $7,000 per season using my systems.
