System:
Go for a home favorite with a spread between -110 and -130 inclusive that has won 6+ games L10 coming off a loss in which they scored 5 or fewer runs. They must have won 3+ games L7 Home Games while the opponent has only won 5 or fewer games L10.
Past Years Results:
Year Record Units
1999: 7-5 +1.25
2000: 14-7 +5.90
2001: 15-8 +5.05
2002: 8-4 +3.25
2003: 10-1 +8.70
Total: 54-25 +24.15
Average Margin of Victory: 0.73 Runs
Analysis:
If your spread is less than -110 then you should be the winner. The team in this situation will look to their home field advantage to pick them up after their loss. It is easy to assume they will bounce back considering that they have been playing well coming into the game.
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