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Free Road Favorites Betting System

System:

Go for a road favorite that has won 6+ road games L10 going against an opponent that has won 3 or less home games L5 and won 7 or less home games L15. This ought to be the first game of the series in which the opponent was coming off a road game.

Past Results for this System

Year Record Win Units E[X]
20111-50.166667-5.080000-0.846667
201027-220.551020-3.060000-0.062449
200915-180.454545-7.720000-0.233939
200822-160.5789472.5700000.067632
200728-130.68292711.3500000.276829
200619-290.395833-18.310000-0.381458
200539-210.65000011.3600000.189333
200428-210.5714290.2000000.004082
200345-280.6164384.9000000.067123
200224-240.500000-12.100000-0.252083
200133-220.6000001.9000000.034545
200019-220.463415-9.470000-0.230976
199937-280.569231-4.500000-0.069231
Total337-2690.556106-27.960000-0.046139

Total Scores: 3182.000000-2669.000000, average Margin of Victory: 0.846535. Pt. MOV: 0.000000

Analysis:

Here we see ourselves going against the home team in the first game of a series but only because our road team is playing well on the road and is coming off a road game. If they are coming off a home game, there is always the comfort factor of leaving home and having to travel. Well, our team has already been on the road so there will be no need to adjust. They will just continue to play well.

 

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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