System:
Go for the home team in the first game of a series if they are coming off a series win or tie versus a team off a straight up loss as well as a series loss. This should be later than game #20 and the home team must either be an underdog or not a favorite more than -130. Our team must be coming into this series putting up good offensive numbers so they must have scored 5 or more runs in their previous game.
Past Years Results:
Year Record Units
2004: 15-12 +3.80
2003: 21-12 +10.95
2002: 21-10 +14.05
2001: 14-11 +2.85
2000: 12-7 +4.85
1999: 22-10 +14.80
Analysis:
The home field advantage in baseball is not as easy to define as it is in other sports. Home field advantage is actually strongest during the first game of a series. If our home team is putting up good offensive numbers they will be coming into the series with a great deal of confidence and will look to extend their streak. Since their opponent is coming off a series loss and has to travel to an opponent's city, they are at a small disadvantage physically and mentally.
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