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Free Home Favorites Betting System

System:

Go for a small home favorite that has won 6+ home games in last 10 attempts and has 3 or more home wins than losses and going against an above 500 team that has won less than 6 road games in last 10 attempts. The opponent must have less than 6 wins L10, have a below 500 road record. This must not be the first game of the series.

Past Results for this System

Year Record Win Units E[X]
20113-10.7500001.4800000.370000
201044-320.578947-2.780000-0.036579
200934-150.69387810.1000000.206122
200851-250.67105316.1200000.212105
200725-150.6250004.6500000.116250
200621-120.6363642.8400000.086061
200538-260.593750-3.190000-0.049844
200427-240.529412-12.200000-0.239216
200336-240.600000-1.900000-0.031667
200216-120.571429-0.500000-0.017857
200114-140.500000-5.850000-0.208929
200027-250.519231-12.350000-0.237500
199914-80.6363640.7000000.031818
Total350-2330.600343-2.880000-0.004940

Total Scores: 2882.000000-2535.000000, average Margin of Victory: 0.595197. Pt. MOV: 0.000000

Analysis:

Another type of a contrarion play here. The team we are going against is an above 500 team but not only are they below 500 on the road, but are 500 or worse L10 games, and 500 or worse L10 road games. Our team is not only decent at home but are also playing well.

 

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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