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Tapping on Shutouts

Past Results for this System

Year Record Win Units E[X]

Total Scores: 953.000000-921.000000, average Margin of Victory: 0.142222. Pt. MOV: 0.000000

by Peter Portero (4/7/06)

Of the over 17,000 games played over the past 7 years, there were 1670 games that resulted in a shutout. This means that roughly 10% of the games result in a shutout.

The number of shutouts last season was the second largest total of any year during the 7-year span, should we thank steroids for that? Well, since we expect to see more shutouts this season, how can we make plays knowing shutouts.

Much like in basketball where teams having poor offensive performances come back with a vengeance, baseball is no different. Teams off a shutout loss were 144-117 last season (+28 units).

As of today, April 5, 2006, there has only been one situation where this happened and it resulted in a win for +2.00 units. What if we piggy-backed shutout losses. Meaning a team is coming off two consecutive shut out losses?

What we found was not necessarily all that thrilling. But if we turned around our test case and asked ourselves "How do teams do if having pitched two consecutive shutout?". We find something very very interesting.

Lets cut to the chase: Home teams going against teams throwing two consecutive shutouts are 22-10, +13 units. On an 11-3 (+10.5 units) roll over the past 3 years.



Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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