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Free Road Underdogs Betting System
System:
Go for above 500 road underdog with a spread of 135 or greater that has won 6+ games L10, going against an opponent with a home winning percentage less than 60% and that has won fewer than 5 games L10. This must not be an interleague game.
Past Results for this System
| Year | Record | Win | Units | E[X] |
|---|
| 2011 | 7-10 | 0.411765 | 0.730000 | 0.042941 |
| 2010 | 5-11 | 0.312500 | -2.750000 | -0.171875 |
| 2009 | 9-9 | 0.500000 | 5.470000 | 0.303889 |
| 2008 | 8-14 | 0.363636 | -1.050000 | -0.047727 |
| 2007 | 21-17 | 0.552632 | 17.020000 | 0.447895 |
| 2006 | 10-8 | 0.555556 | 7.260000 | 0.403333 |
| 2005 | 6-9 | 0.400000 | 0.500000 | 0.033333 |
| 2004 | 10-16 | 0.384615 | -0.690000 | -0.026538 |
| 2003 | 11-9 | 0.550000 | 8.750000 | 0.437500 |
| 2002 | 8-6 | 0.571429 | 6.800000 | 0.485714 |
| 2001 | 12-8 | 0.600000 | 10.730000 | 0.536500 |
| 2000 | 10-11 | 0.476190 | 4.700000 | 0.223810 |
| 1999 | 11-7 | 0.611111 | 11.600000 | 0.644444 |
| Total | 128-135 | 0.486692 | 69.070000 | 0.262624 |
|---|
Total Scores: 1230.000000-1265.000000, average Margin of Victory: -0.133080. Pt. MOV: 0.000000
Analysis:
If you have a spread of +135 or more, that means that to
break-even you would only have to win 42% or less of the time. This comes out to be 69 games on the season. There are reasons why our team is above 500. For a team to be +135, that must mean Joe Public loves the opposing pitcher but what they do not realize is that this day and age, starting pitchers only pitch about 6 innings. This leaves 33% of any game to the bullpen.
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