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Free Road Underdogs Betting System

System:

Go for above 500 road underdog with a spread of 135 or greater that has won 6+ games L10, going against an opponent with a home winning percentage less than 60% and that has won fewer than 5 games L10. This must not be an interleague game.

Past Results for this System

Year Record Win Units E[X]
201210-60.6250008.9600000.560000
20117-100.4117650.7300000.042941
20105-110.312500-2.750000-0.171875
20099-90.5000005.4700000.303889
20088-140.363636-1.050000-0.047727
200721-170.55263217.0200000.447895
200610-80.5555567.2600000.403333
20056-90.4000000.5000000.033333
200410-160.384615-0.690000-0.026538
200311-90.5500008.7500000.437500
20028-60.5714296.8000000.485714
200112-80.60000010.7300000.536500
200010-110.4761904.7000000.223810
199911-70.61111111.6000000.644444
Total138-1410.49462478.0300000.279677

Total Scores: 1324.000000-1328.000000, average Margin of Victory: -0.014337. Pt. MOV: 0.000000

Analysis:

If you have a spread of +135 or more, that means that to

break-even you would only have to win 42% or less of the time. This comes out to be 69 games on the season. There are reasons why our team is above 500. For a team to be +135, that must mean Joe Public loves the opposing pitcher but what they do not realize is that this day and age, starting pitchers only pitch about 6 innings. This leaves 33% of any game to the bullpen.

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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