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System:
Go for a home underdog in a division rivalry game that has more than 2 home wins than home losses and having won 6+ games L10 and at least won 4 home games L10 home games.
Past Results for this System
| Year | Record | Win | Units | E[X] |
|---|
| 2012 | 23-22 | 0.511111 | 7.020000 | 0.156000 |
| 2011 | 12-15 | 0.444444 | -0.190000 | -0.007037 |
| 2010 | 12-18 | 0.400000 | -4.000000 | -0.133333 |
| 2009 | 9-17 | 0.346154 | -6.330000 | -0.243462 |
| 2008 | 24-27 | 0.470588 | 1.400000 | 0.027451 |
| 2007 | 14-15 | 0.482759 | 1.610000 | 0.055517 |
| 2006 | 22-24 | 0.478261 | 2.360000 | 0.051304 |
| 2005 | 12-25 | 0.324324 | -9.810000 | -0.265135 |
| 2004 | 23-18 | 0.560976 | 12.510000 | 0.305122 |
| 2003 | 21-12 | 0.636364 | 12.900000 | 0.390909 |
| 2002 | 26-18 | 0.590909 | 13.000000 | 0.295455 |
| 2001 | 29-19 | 0.604167 | 15.300000 | 0.318750 |
| 2000 | 20-12 | 0.625000 | 12.150000 | 0.379687 |
| 1999 | 14-12 | 0.538462 | 4.650000 | 0.178846 |
| Total | 261-254 | 0.506796 | 62.570000 | 0.121495 |
|---|
Total Scores: 2396.000000-2621.000000, average Margin of Victory: -0.436893. Pt. MOV: 0.000000
Analysis:
Blindly betting on home underdogs in a division rivalry game will have won you money almost every year. This is one angle that narrows down the field to a smaller number of games to bet on.
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