Past Results for this System
| Year | Record | Win | Units | E[X] |
|---|
| 2012 | 1-1 | 0.500000 | -0.100000 | -0.050000 |
| 2011 | 0-0 | -1.#IND00 | 0.000000 | -1.#IND00 |
| 2010 | 1-2 | 0.333333 | -1.850000 | -0.616667 |
| 2009 | 1-1 | 0.500000 | -0.130000 | -0.065000 |
| 2008 | 0-4 | 0.000000 | -5.570000 | -1.392500 |
| 2007 | 4-3 | 0.571429 | 1.200000 | 0.171429 |
| 2006 | 2-1 | 0.666667 | 1.160000 | 0.386667 |
| 2005 | 3-1 | 0.750000 | 1.720000 | 0.430000 |
| 2004 | 4-2 | 0.666667 | 1.650000 | 0.275000 |
| 2003 | 0-2 | 0.000000 | -2.250000 | -1.125000 |
| 2002 | 2-1 | 0.666667 | 1.250000 | 0.416667 |
| 2001 | 0-0 | -1.#IND00 | 0.000000 | -1.#IND00 |
| 2000 | 4-1 | 0.800000 | 5.000000 | 1.000000 |
| 1999 | 5-2 | 0.714286 | 1.500000 | 0.214286 |
| Total | 27-21 | 0.562500 | 3.580000 | 0.074583 |
|---|
Total Scores: 247.000000-228.000000, average Margin of Victory: 0.395833. Pt. MOV: 0.000000
When we analyze the first game of a series, there are certain angles that we like to focus on.
We always like to bet on teams that are coming into a series after having gotten a sweep or a series win. Similarly, we like to go against teams having been swept or off a series loss. Home teams always have an added advantage during the first game of a series so we like looking for undervalued home teams.
The amount of days rest that a team gets going into the series may also play a factor on a team as well. Rest does not bode well for a team that has been winning but it gives a struggling team a chance to shake off its slump.
What we have consistently found was that going into a series with momentum was always the biggest key sign pointing to going for or against a team. Whether its a win streak or runs scored, betting on these teams is a good sign.
We put together one of the simplest possible baseball betting systems together to see if it would work and found that if a team playing a Series Game 1 scored 15+ runs in its previous game was 62-47 +16 units over the past 7 seasons. Adding a little flavor to it because we like home teams in this spot, we see a system that is 30-16 +14.7 units with no losing seasons. The average margin of victory for our team is actually greater than 1 run per game and there was an inherent 30 point average value in the line.
As long as the majority of baseball handicappers do not focus in on the series dynamics, systems like these will continue to fly under the radar and give our EasyBaseballBetting.com bettors money in their pockets.
All the information posted on this site are as a result of our 10 year's of research and analysis.
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