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Who do you think will win the World Series?
 Rangers   Yankees   Dodgers
 Devil Rays   Red Sox   Phillies
 Cubs  Angels  Giants

Betting Teams off a One Run Loss

Past Results for this System

Year Record Win Units E[X]

Total Scores: 13965.000000-15882.000000, average Margin of Victory: -0.616003. Pt. MOV: 0.000000

If you have been following our NBA Betting Systems on our partner NFLSystems.com then you will know that we often look to bet on teams off an overtime loss or a one run loss because we know the disappointment of having been so close to victory propels them in the next game. Does this mentality work in baseball?

We have not done a good job in bookkeeping which games in our database have gone to overtime so we cannot give you any indication of how teams do off of an overtime loss. The next best thing is a loss by one run.

We checked how teams did off of a one-run loss, and saw that they are a +34 units over the past 3 seasons. As an underdog, these teams are +59 units over that 3 year span. Evidence that baseball teams off one run losses play above expectations in their following game as an underdog.

When we think about motivation, we love to focus in on the home/away differential for the system. We know our team is motivated so we look at how it does at home versus on the road. This system actually performed far better for teams on the road. A very surprising statistic for us because we expected it to work for the home teams.

Nevertheless, we found ourself the making of a decent angle that may help us in identifying winners. Road underdogs off of a one run loss were +35 units the past 3 baseball seasons.

All the information posted on this site are as a result of our 10 year's of research and analysis.

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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