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Handicapping the Baltimore Orioles

Last Updated: 7/5/08

Last 5 Games 6/30/08 Royals   L5-6 vs R 7/1/08 Royals   W7-5 vs R 7/2/08 Royals   W5-2 vs R 7/3/08 Royals   L7-10 vs R 7/4/08 Rangers   W10-4 vs R Next 5 Games 7/5/08 Rangers   TBD vs R 7/6/08 Rangers   TBD - 7/8/08 @Blue Jays   TBD - 7/9/08 @Blue Jays   TBD - 7/10/08 @Blue Jays   TBD - 2008 Scores/Schedule Today's Pitching Matchups Burres(L) vs Hurley(R)

Record 44-41 (overall) 25-14 (home) 19-27 (road) Average Runs/Game 6.80 (last 5) 6.20 (last 10) 5.90 (last 20) 4.65 (season) WINS Last X 5 (last 10) 12 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Guthrie(R)	9-10	-0.23
Cabrera(R)	10-7	4.25
Trachsel(R)	2-6	-3.24
Loewen(L)	2-2	0.09
Burres(L)	8-8	2.14
KipAlbers(R)	1-1	0.06
Olson(L)	7-6	0.90
Liz(R)	5-1	5.23

Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	41	40	7.55	9.3
2nd half of season	3	1	1.65	41.3
National League	11	7	3.70	20.6
American League	33	34	5.50	8.2
Divsional Rival	15	19	0.14	0.4
Non-Divsional Rival	18	15	5.36	16.2
Interleague Game	11	7	3.70	20.6
As a dog	26	33	1.17	2.0
As a favorite	18	8	8.03	30.9
Off a win	23	20	6.15	14.3
Off a loss	21	20	4.05	9.9
Off being shut out	1	2	-0.50	-16.7
Off scoring DD	0	4	-4.27	-106.7
Series Game 1	20	8	17.09	61.0
Series Game 2	14	13	2.74	10.1
Series Game 3	7	17	-10.35	-43.1
Series Game 4	2	2	-0.35	-8.8
At Home	25	14	11.65	29.9
On the Road	19	27	-2.45	-5.3
Off LL	12	9	4.01	19.1
Off WW	12	11	2.10	9.1
5+ WL10	23	31	-5.16	-9.6
7+ WL10	1	6	-5.11	-73.0
<=3 WL10	9	5	5.24	37.4
<=5 WL10	29	20	14.39	29.4
Against team off SO	1	2	-1.00	-33.3
Vs. team off DD runs	2	1	1.42	47.3
Vs. team off W (G1)	13	5	10.89	60.5
Vs. team off L (G1)	7	3	6.20	62.0
Off W (G1)	8	1	9.66	107.3
Off L (G1)	12	7	7.43	39.1
1st Home Series	10	7	3.18	18.7
2nd Home Series	8	5	2.34	18.0
3rd Home Series	2	1	1.84	61.3
1st Road Series	8	10	0.31	1.7
2nd Road Series	6	12	-3.65	-20.3
3rd Road Series	5	5	0.89	8.9
L-->L	5	5	0.00	0.0
R-->R	29	19	15.28	31.8
L-->R	6	7	-0.37	-2.8
R-->L	4	9	-4.71	-36.2
Diff. Orientation	10	16	-5.08	-19.5
opTeam Diff. Orientation	25	22	6.84	14.6

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

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