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Handicapping the Boston Red Sox

Last Updated: 7/5/08

Last 5 Games 6/30/08 @Devil Rays   L4-5 vs R 7/1/08 @Devil Rays   L1-3 vs R 7/2/08 @Devil Rays   L6-7 vs L 7/3/08 @Yankees   W7-0 vs L 7/4/08 @Yankees   W6-4 vs R Next 5 Games 7/5/08 @Yankees   TBD vs R 7/6/08 @Yankees   TBD - 7/7/08 Twins   TBD - 7/8/08 Twins   TBD - 7/9/08 Twins   TBD - 2008 Scores/Schedule Today's Pitching Matchups Masterson(R) vs Mussina(R)

Record 52-37 (overall) 31-10 (home) 21-27 (road) Average Runs/Game 4.80 (last 5) 5.20 (last 10) 4.65 (last 20) 5.03 (season) WINS Last X 5 (last 10) 10 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Matsuzaka(R)	11-3	5.76
Lester(L)	12-7	5.07
Wakefield(R)	8-9	-1.41
Buchholz(R)	2-6	-4.97
Beckett(R)	9-7	-1.11
Pauley(R)	1-0	1.00
Masterson(R)	5-3	1.86
Colon(R)	4-2	1.60

Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	49	32	10.53	13.0
2nd half of season	3	5	-2.73	-34.1
National League	11	7	0.68	3.8
American League	41	30	7.12	10.0
Divsional Rival	18	16	-0.45	-1.3
Non-Divsional Rival	23	14	7.57	20.5
Interleague Game	11	7	0.68	3.8
As a dog	8	11	-1.50	-7.9
As a favorite	44	26	9.30	13.3
Off a win	31	20	7.42	14.5
Off a loss	20	17	-0.62	-1.7
Off being shut out	4	1	3.00	60.0
Off scoring DD	4	3	0.34	4.9
Series Game 1	14	14	-3.09	-11.0
Series Game 2	18	10	5.00	17.9
Series Game 3	14	10	2.96	12.3
Series Game 4	3	2	0.57	11.4
At Home	31	10	16.22	39.6
On the Road	21	27	-8.42	-17.5
Off LL	7	10	-3.93	-23.1
Off WW	17	13	1.81	6.0
5+ WL10	37	30	-0.40	-0.6
7+ WL10	14	16	-5.80	-19.3
<=3 WL10	3	4	-0.95	-13.6
<=5 WL10	27	12	15.29	39.2
Against team off SO	4	3	0.38	5.4
Vs. team off DD runs	4	2	1.62	27.0
Vs. team off W (G1)	8	6	2.39	17.1
Vs. team off L (G1)	6	8	-5.48	-39.1
Off W (G1)	6	11	-7.62	-44.8
Off L (G1)	8	3	4.53	41.2
1st Home Series	15	4	8.75	46.1
2nd Home Series	14	5	7.53	39.6
3rd Home Series	2	1	-0.06	-2.0
1st Road Series	8	10	-2.49	-13.8
2nd Road Series	5	10	-6.41	-42.7
3rd Road Series	5	3	1.43	17.9
L-->L	4	0	4.19	104.7
R-->R	30	26	-1.99	-3.6
L-->R	7	7	-1.44	-10.3
R-->L	10	4	6.04	43.1
Diff. Orientation	17	11	4.60	16.4
opTeam Diff. Orientation	26	10	15.42	42.8

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

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