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Handicapping the Cincinnati Reds

Last Updated: 10/27/12

Last 5 Games
10/6/12	@Giants	W5-2	vs R
10/7/12	@Giants	W9-0	vs L
10/9/12	Giants	L1-2	vs R
10/10/12	Giants	L3-8	vs L
10/11/12	Giants	L4-6	vs R
2012 Scores/Schedule

Record

99-68 (overall)
50-34 (home)
49-34 (road)

Average Runs/Game

4.40 (last 5)
3.20 (last 10)
3.20 (last 20)
4.14 (season)
3.97 (vs Righties)
4.54 (vs Lefties)

WINS Last X

4 (last 10)
11 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Cueto(R)	22-11	7.35
Latos(R)	23-10	10.84
Arroyo(R)	19-14	3.89
Bailey(R)	18-16	0.57
Leake(R)	16-15	-2.50

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Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	44	37	2.74	3.4
2nd half of season	53	28	18.13	22.4
National League	92	60	20.85	13.7
American League	7	8	-1.40	-9.3
Divsional Rival	49	30	12.50	15.8
Non-Divsional Rival	43	30	8.35	11.4
Interleague Game	7	8	-1.40	-9.3
As a dog	21	19	6.77	16.9
As a favorite	74	47	8.68	7.2
Off a win	55	44	3.53	3.6
Off a loss	43	24	14.92	22.3
Off being shut out	3	1	2.58	64.5
Off scoring DD	3	1	1.71	42.8
Series Game 1	27	26	-6.13	-11.6
Series Game 2	35	18	16.16	30.5
Series Game 3	28	21	3.87	7.9
Series Game 4	7	2	5.00	55.6
At Home	50	34	4.33	5.2
On the Road	49	34	15.12	18.2
In the Playoffs	2	3	-1.42	-28.4
Off LL	15	8	6.19	26.9
Off WW	32	23	3.43	6.2
5+ WL10	85	58	15.00	10.5
7+ WL10	29	23	2.76	5.3
<=3 WL10	6	7	-0.67	-5.2
<=5 WL10	44	21	22.13	34.0
Against team off SO	8	8	-1.35	-8.4
Vs. team off DD runs	3	5	-1.56	-19.5
Vs. team off W (G1)	14	13	-0.82	-3.0
Vs. team off L (G1)	13	13	-5.31	-20.4
Off W (G1)	16	16	-3.80	-11.9
Off L (G1)	11	10	-2.33	-11.1
1st Home Series	20	18	-3.57	-9.4
2nd Home Series	17	12	0.00	0.0
3rd Home Series	10	1	8.45	76.8
1st Road Series	21	17	3.35	8.8
2nd Road Series	19	14	4.60	13.9
3rd Road Series	9	3	7.17	59.7
L-->L	8	3	4.52	41.1
R-->R	44	34	2.98	3.8
L-->R	22	17	2.18	5.6
R-->L	24	14	8.77	23.1
Diff. Orientation	46	31	10.95	14.2
opTeam Diff. Orientation	5	10	-7.57	-50.5

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

Look at how this team has done against the following teams:

Marlins, Orioles, Rockies, Padres, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Giants, Pirates, Brewers, Blue Jays, Cubs, Cardinals, Phillies, Red Sox, Mariners, Yankees, Devil Rays, White Sox, Twins, Mets, Tigers, Royals, Angels, Athletics, Braves, Rangers, Nationals, Indians, Astros.

Who do you think will win the World Series?

Rangers Yankees Dodgers

Devil Rays Red Sox Phillies

Cubs Angels Giants

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Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles	93-69	+41.76
Athletics	94-68	+40.30
Nationals	98-64	+27.78
Giants	94-68	+23.57
Reds	97-65	+20.87
Full Table >>

Home
Athletics	50-31	+20.95
Orioles	47-34	+14.14
Nationals	50-31	+12.19
Reds	50-31	+8.39
Giants	48-33	+8.34
Full Table >>

Road
Orioles	46-35	+27.62
Athletics	44-37	+19.35
Braves	46-35	+16.83
Nationals	48-33	+15.59
Giants	46-35	+15.23
Full Table >>

vs Righty
Athletics	64-39	+34.98
Orioles	67-52	+28.93
Braves	65-38	+25.38
Nationals	70-45	+21.99
Reds	65-49	+6.64
Full Table >>

vs Lefty
Giants	41-20	+24.22
Reds	32-16	+14.23
Orioles	26-17	+12.83
Cardinals	31-17	+9.96
Nationals	28-19	+5.79
Full Table >>

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