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Handicapping the Detroit Tigers

Last Updated: 7/5/08

Last 5 Games 6/30/08 @Twins   W5-4 vs L 7/1/08 @Twins   L4-6 vs R 7/2/08 @Twins   L0-7 vs R 7/3/08 @Mariners   W8-4 vs R 7/4/08 @Mariners   L1-4 vs L Next 5 Games 7/5/08 @Mariners   TBD vs R 7/6/08 @Mariners   TBD - 7/8/08 Indians   TBD - 7/9/08 Indians   TBD - 7/10/08 Twins   TBD - 2008 Scores/Schedule Today's Pitching Matchups Galarraga(R) vs Dickey(R)

Record 43-43 (overall) 25-17 (home) 18-26 (road) Average Runs/Game 3.60 (last 5) 4.70 (last 10) 5.25 (last 20) 4.78 (season) WINS Last X 7 (last 10) 14 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Verlander(R)	6-12	-10.23
Rogers(L)	9-9	-1.01
Bonderman(R)	6-6	-0.84
Robertson(L)	8-9	-1.59
Willis(L)	1-3	-2.52
Galarraga(R)	11-2	9.07
Bonine(R)	1-2	-1.00

Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	41	40	-6.12	-7.6
2nd half of season	2	3	-1.00	-20.0
National League	13	5	7.58	42.1
American League	30	38	-14.70	-21.6
Divsional Rival	11	21	-16.51	-51.6
Non-Divsional Rival	19	17	1.81	5.0
Interleague Game	13	5	7.58	42.1
As a dog	10	19	-7.57	-26.1
As a favorite	33	24	0.45	0.8
Off a win	23	20	0.49	1.1
Off a loss	20	22	-5.53	-13.2
Off being shut out	6	4	1.15	11.5
Off scoring DD	5	3	1.09	13.6
Series Game 1	14	14	-1.46	-5.2
Series Game 2	15	13	0.89	3.2
Series Game 3	13	11	0.13	0.5
Series Game 4	1	2	-1.07	-35.7
At Home	25	17	0.61	1.5
On the Road	18	26	-7.73	-17.6
Off LL	8	15	-10.88	-47.3
Off WW	13	10	1.90	8.3
5+ WL10	27	21	4.26	8.9
7+ WL10	14	9	4.06	17.7
<=3 WL10	8	15	-10.95	-47.6
<=5 WL10	24	29	-10.10	-19.1
Against team off SO	2	0	2.00	100.0
Vs. team off DD runs	0	2	-2.08	-104.0
Vs. team off W (G1)	7	7	-0.29	-2.1
Vs. team off L (G1)	7	7	-1.17	-8.4
Off W (G1)	6	7	-1.93	-14.8
Off L (G1)	8	7	0.47	3.1
1st Home Series	13	6	5.56	29.3
2nd Home Series	9	5	2.20	15.7
3rd Home Series	3	0	3.00	100.0
1st Road Series	9	11	-1.31	-6.6
2nd Road Series	9	12	-3.42	-16.3
3rd Road Series	0	3	-3.00	-100.0
L-->L	2	1	0.87	29.0
R-->R	20	25	-9.42	-20.9
L-->R	7	11	-4.65	-25.8
R-->L	14	5	8.16	42.9
Diff. Orientation	21	16	3.51	9.5
opTeam Diff. Orientation	29	28	-3.61	-6.3

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

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