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Handicapping the Minnesota Twins

Last Updated: 10/13/11

Last 5 Games
9/24/11	@Indians	L6-7	vs R
9/25/11	@Indians	W6-4	vs R
9/26/11	Royals	L3-7	vs R
9/27/11	Royals	W7-4	vs R
9/28/11	Royals	W1-0	vs L
2011 Scores/Schedule

Record

63-99 (overall)
33-48 (home)
30-51 (road)

Average Runs/Game

4.60 (last 5)
4.10 (last 10)
3.75 (last 20)
3.82 (season)
3.78 (vs Righties)
3.91 (vs Lefties)

WINS Last X

4 (last 10)
5 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Pavano(R)	13-19	-1.78
Liriano(L)	11-14	-2.13
Blackburn(R)	11-15	-1.47
Baker(R)	9-12	-2.35
Duensing(L)	11-16	-2.68
Swarzak(R)	5-6	-0.38
Diamond(L)	1-5	-3.30
Slowey(R)	0-8	-8.27
Hendriks(R)	1-3	-1.45

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Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	35	46	-4.72	-5.8
2nd half of season	28	53	-19.03	-23.5
National League	8	10	-1.53	-8.5
American League	55	89	-22.22	-15.4
Divsional Rival	30	42	-6.41	-8.9
Non-Divsional Rival	25	47	-15.81	-22.0
Interleague Game	8	10	-1.53	-8.5
As a dog	43	67	-7.10	-6.5
As a favorite	20	31	-16.65	-32.6
Off a win	30	32	3.27	5.3
Off a loss	33	66	-26.02	-26.3
Off being shut out	3	10	-7.25	-55.8
Off scoring DD	1	4	-3.00	-60.0
Series Game 1	20	32	-8.74	-16.8
Series Game 2	16	35	-15.06	-29.5
Series Game 3	17	25	-4.39	-10.5
Series Game 4	9	5	5.42	38.7
At Home	33	48	-16.79	-20.7
On the Road	30	51	-6.96	-8.6
Off LL	22	45	-19.28	-28.8
Off WW	14	15	0.97	3.3
5+ WL10	22	23	1.34	3.0
7+ WL10	13	8	6.35	30.2
<=3 WL10	27	58	-23.95	-28.2
<=5 WL10	46	84	-27.55	-21.2
Against team off SO	6	3	4.43	49.2
Vs. team off DD runs	3	11	-6.76	-48.3
Vs. team off W (G1)	9	16	-4.91	-19.6
Vs. team off L (G1)	11	16	-3.83	-14.2
Off W (G1)	13	11	4.79	20.0
Off L (G1)	7	21	-13.53	-48.3
1st Home Series	17	24	-7.18	-17.5
2nd Home Series	9	18	-10.86	-40.2
3rd Home Series	7	6	1.25	9.6
1st Road Series	10	26	-9.42	-26.2
2nd Road Series	14	12	7.24	27.8
3rd Road Series	4	9	-3.70	-28.5
L-->L	4	4	1.81	22.6
R-->R	28	51	-15.59	-19.7
L-->R	14	23	-8.01	-21.6
R-->L	17	20	-0.96	-2.6
Diff. Orientation	31	43	-8.97	-12.1
opTeam Diff. Orientation	38	57	-11.16	-11.7

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

Look at how this team has done against the following teams:

Marlins, Orioles, Rockies, Padres, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Giants, Pirates, Brewers, Blue Jays, Cubs, Reds, Cardinals, Phillies, Red Sox, Mariners, Yankees, Devil Rays, White Sox, Mets, Tigers, Royals, Angels, Athletics, Braves, Rangers, Nationals, Indians, Astros.

Who do you think will win the World Series?

Rangers Yankees Dodgers

Devil Rays Red Sox Phillies

Cubs Angels Giants

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/13/11

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Diamondbacks	94-68	+27.70
Brewers	96-66	+20.77
Tigers	95-67	+19.91
Phillies	102-60	+14.30
Rangers	96-66	+13.34
Full Table >>

Home
Brewers	57-24	+25.23
Diamondbacks	51-30	+13.96
Rangers	52-29	+7.69
Tigers	50-31	+7.61
Yankees	52-29	+7.38
Full Table >>

Road
Mets	43-38	+17.61
Diamondbacks	43-38	+13.74
Tigers	45-36	+12.30
Cardinals	45-36	+10.67
White Sox	43-38	+10.61
Full Table >>

vs Righty
Diamondbacks	70-44	+29.54
Brewers	78-48	+23.42
Rangers	70-45	+13.60
Tigers	65-47	+12.66
Cardinals	71-52	+8.41
Full Table >>

vs Lefty
D'rays	31-19	+14.26
Yankees	34-17	+12.92
Phillies	30-13	+9.49
Tigers	30-20	+7.25
Giants	26-18	+6.32
Full Table >>

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