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Handicapping the Oakland Athletics

Last Updated: 7/4/09

7/4/09
Athletics 33-45 (Road: 14-24)	V.Mazzaro(R) -106
Indians 32-49 (Home: 18-24)	C.Pavano(R) -102
Statistical Preview \| Prediction: Indians

Last 5 Games
6/28/09	Rockies	L1-3	vs R
6/29/09	Tigers	W7-1	vs R
6/30/09	Tigers	L3-5	vs R
7/1/09	Tigers	W5-1	vs R
7/3/09	@Indians	L3-15	vs L
Next 5 Games
7/4/09	@Indians	TBD	vs R
7/5/09	@Indians	TBD	-
7/6/09	@Red Sox	TBD	-
7/7/09	@Red Sox	TBD	-
7/8/09	@Red Sox	TBD	-
2009 Scores/Schedule

Today's Pitching Matchups
Mazzaro(R) vs Pavano(R)

Record

33-45 (overall)
19-21 (home)
14-24 (road)

Average Runs/Game

3.80 (last 5)
3.90 (last 10)
3.55 (last 20)
4.21 (season)
4.40 (vs Righties)
3.86 (vs Lefties)

WINS Last X

3 (last 10)
7 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Braden(L)	7-10	-3.23
Cahill(R)	8-8	0.11
Eveland(L)	3-3	0.06
Anderson(R)	0-6	-6.45
Outman(L)	8-5	5.21
Gallagher(R)	0-1	-1.11
Anderson(L)	5-4	3.25
Gonzalez(R)	0-1	-1.00
G.Gonzalez(R)	0-1	-1.00
Mazzaro(R)	2-4	-2.00
Gonzalez(L)	0-1	-1.00

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Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	33	45	-8.16	-10.5
National League	5	13	-6.89	-38.3
American League	28	32	-1.27	-2.1
Divsional Rival	8	14	-6.47	-29.4
Non-Divsional Rival	20	18	5.20	13.7
Interleague Game	5	13	-6.89	-38.3
As a dog	17	28	-5.97	-13.3
As a favorite	16	15	-2.19	-7.1
Off a win	15	18	-2.13	-6.5
Off a loss	18	26	-5.03	-11.4
Off being shut out	3	2	1.37	27.4
Off scoring DD	1	0	1.00	100.0
Series Game 1	10	16	-5.30	-20.4
Series Game 2	12	13	0.08	0.3
Series Game 3	6	14	-6.93	-34.6
Series Game 4	3	1	2.90	72.5
At Home	19	21	-1.76	-4.4
On the Road	14	24	-6.40	-16.8
Off LL	11	16	-3.17	-11.7
Off WW	6	9	-3.31	-22.1
5+ WL10	7	11	-3.70	-20.6
7+ WL10	2	4	-2.37	-39.5
<=3 WL10	15	6	10.30	49.0
<=5 WL10	30	39	-4.79	-6.9
Against team off SO	1	1	0.25	12.5
Vs. team off DD runs	2	3	-0.27	-5.4
Vs. team off W (G1)	5	9	-4.62	-33.0
Vs. team off L (G1)	5	7	-0.68	-5.7
Off W (G1)	4	7	-3.51	-31.9
Off L (G1)	6	9	-1.79	-11.9
1st Home Series	7	10	-3.40	-20.0
2nd Home Series	7	8	-0.41	-2.7
3rd Home Series	3	3	0.05	0.8
4th Home Series	2	0	2.00	100.0
1st Road Series	3	13	-9.30	-58.1
2nd Road Series	7	9	1.02	6.4
3rd Road Series	2	1	0.79	26.3
L-->L	3	6	-2.06	-22.9
R-->R	15	17	-0.98	-3.1
L-->R	8	10	-1.16	-6.4
R-->L	7	11	-2.96	-16.4
Diff. Orientation	15	21	-4.12	-11.4
opTeam Diff. Orientation	17	25	-6.54	-15.6

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

Look at how this team has done against the following teams:

Marlins, Orioles, Rockies, Padres, Diamondbacks, Dodgers, Giants, Pirates, Brewers, Blue Jays, Cubs, Reds, Cardinals, Phillies, Red Sox, Mariners, Yankees, Devil Rays, White Sox, Twins, Mets, Tigers, Royals, Angels, Braves, Rangers, Nationals, Indians, Astros.

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Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Updated: 7/4/09

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Overall
Dodgers	51-29	+16.88
Red Sox	48-31	+9.00
Giants	43-36	+8.87
Angels	43-35	+8.78
Rangers	43-35	+8.33
Full Table >>

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Home
Giants	25-12	+12.10
Tigers	23-11	+9.26
Red Sox	25-11	+8.60
Dodgers	28-13	+8.41
Devil Rays	26-13	+6.63
Full Table >>

Road
Phillies	26-15	+14.27
White Sox	22-18	+9.78
Dodgers	23-16	+8.47
Rockies	24-22	+8.29
Angels	22-19	+7.25
Full Table >>

vs Righty
Dodgers	34-20	+11.07
Rockies	29-23	+8.58
Angels	31-25	+6.87
Devil Rays	30-21	+5.91
Twins	29-23	+4.77
Full Table >>

vs Lefty
Marlins	18-9	+10.97
Brewers	13-8	+6.62
Red Sox	17-9	+6.22
Tigers	15-9	+6.02
Dodgers	17-9	+5.81
Full Table >>

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