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Handicapping the Pittsburgh Pirates

Last Updated: 7/5/08

Last 5 Games 6/29/08 Devil Rays   L3-4 vs R 6/30/08 @Reds   L3-4 vs R 7/1/08 @Reds   W6-5 vs R 7/2/08 @Reds   W9-5 vs R 7/4/08 @Brewers   L1-9 vs R Next 5 Games 7/5/08 @Brewers   TBD vs R 7/6/08 @Brewers   TBD - 7/7/08 Astros   TBD - 7/8/08 Astros   TBD - 7/9/08 Astros   TBD - 2008 Scores/Schedule Today's Pitching Matchups Maholm(L) vs Bush(R)

Record 40-45 (overall) 25-19 (home) 15-26 (road) Average Runs/Game 4.40 (last 5) 4.80 (last 10) 4.90 (last 20) 4.86 (season) WINS Last X 4 (last 10) 9 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Snell(R)	7-9	-1.63
Gorzelanny(L)	7-10	-1.49
Duke(L)	9-8	4.91
Morris(R)	0-5	-5.06
Maholm(L)	9-7	2.20
Dumatrait(L)	6-4	3.24
VanBenschoten(R)	1-1	0.31
Taubenheim(R)	1-0	1.00

Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	38	43	1.48	1.8
2nd half of season	2	2	1.00	25.0
National League	35	36	5.43	7.6
American League	5	9	-2.95	-21.1
Divsional Rival	17	20	1.31	3.5
Non-Divsional Rival	18	16	4.12	12.1
Interleague Game	5	9	-2.95	-21.1
As a dog	24	35	-2.16	-3.7
As a favorite	15	10	3.64	14.6
Off a win	15	25	-9.47	-23.7
Off a loss	24	20	10.59	24.1
Off being shut out	1	1	0.12	6.0
Off scoring DD	1	6	-5.05	-72.1
Series Game 1	8	20	-11.05	-39.5
Series Game 2	14	13	3.96	14.7
Series Game 3	14	9	7.01	30.5
Series Game 4	2	2	0.74	18.5
At Home	25	19	6.98	15.9
On the Road	15	26	-4.50	-11.0
Off LL	12	8	6.20	31.0
Off WW	6	9	-2.74	-18.3
5+ WL10	17	23	-2.70	-6.7
7+ WL10	4	4	1.97	24.6
<=3 WL10	6	9	-1.94	-12.9
<=5 WL10	32	37	0.66	1.0
Against team off SO	3	2	1.62	32.4
Vs. team off DD runs	4	5	-0.36	-4.0
Vs. team off W (G1)	3	9	-5.81	-48.4
Vs. team off L (G1)	5	11	-5.24	-32.8
Off W (G1)	3	14	-11.19	-65.8
Off L (G1)	5	6	0.14	1.3
1st Home Series	9	8	1.30	7.6
2nd Home Series	12	6	6.99	38.8
3rd Home Series	4	5	-1.31	-14.6
1st Road Series	8	9	2.49	14.6
2nd Road Series	4	14	-7.73	-42.9
L-->L	5	3	2.89	36.1
R-->R	21	20	7.63	18.6
L-->R	8	10	-2.21	-12.3
R-->L	5	12	-7.19	-42.3
Diff. Orientation	13	22	-9.40	-26.9
opTeam Diff. Orientation	22	31	-5.99	-11.3

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

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