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Handicapping the San Diego Padres

Last Updated: 7/5/08

Last 5 Games 6/29/08 Mariners   L2-9 vs L 6/30/08 @Rockies   W15-8 vs L 7/1/08 @Rockies   L0-4 vs R 7/2/08 @Rockies   L1-8 vs R 7/4/08 @Diamondbacks   W5-1 vs R Next 5 Games 7/5/08 @Diamondbacks   TBD vs L 7/6/08 @Diamondbacks   TBD - 7/7/08 Marlins   TBD - 7/8/08 Marlins   TBD - 7/9/08 Marlins   TBD - 2008 Scores/Schedule Today's Pitching Matchups Peavy(R) vs Davis(L)

Record 34-53 (overall) 21-26 (home) 13-27 (road) Average Runs/Game 4.60 (last 5) 3.40 (last 10) 3.95 (last 20) 3.71 (season) WINS Last X 2 (last 10) 5 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Peavy(R)	5-8	-5.87
Young(R)	4-6	-2.96
Maddux(R)	9-9	-0.64
Wolf(L)	7-11	-3.70
Germano(R)	1-5	-4.47
Ledezma(L)	2-4	-1.70
Estes(L)	1-3	-1.74
Banks(R)	2-4	-2.00
SeungBaek(R)	1-1	0.15
Baek(R)	2-3	0.26

Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	32	49	-20.05	-24.8
2nd half of season	2	4	-1.62	-27.0
National League	31	38	-8.49	-12.3
American League	3	15	-13.18	-73.2
Divsional Rival	15	18	-4.42	-13.4
Non-Divsional Rival	16	20	-4.07	-11.3
Interleague Game	3	15	-13.18	-73.2
As a dog	16	30	-9.83	-21.4
As a favorite	18	23	-11.84	-28.9
Off a win	11	22	-12.11	-36.7
Off a loss	22	31	-10.56	-19.9
Off being shut out	2	4	-2.08	-34.7
Off scoring DD	1	1	0.00	0.0
Series Game 1	11	17	-6.85	-24.5
Series Game 2	11	16	-5.26	-19.5
Series Game 3	7	18	-12.64	-50.6
Series Game 4	2	1	1.36	45.3
At Home	21	26	-9.81	-20.9
On the Road	13	27	-11.86	-29.6
Off LL	13	18	-6.55	-21.1
Off WW	4	7	-3.24	-29.5
5+ WL10	12	14	-1.80	-6.9
7+ WL10	2	4	-1.22	-20.3
<=3 WL10	15	25	-11.54	-28.9
<=5 WL10	25	46	-25.04	-35.3
Against team off SO	2	1	0.65	21.7
Vs. team off DD runs	4	5	-1.21	-13.4
Vs. team off W (G1)	6	11	-5.07	-29.8
Vs. team off L (G1)	5	6	-1.78	-16.2
Off W (G1)	4	5	-1.12	-12.4
Off L (G1)	7	12	-5.73	-30.2
1st Home Series	6	11	-7.63	-44.9
2nd Home Series	7	7	-0.10	-0.7
3rd Home Series	4	5	-2.51	-27.9
1st Road Series	8	14	-4.44	-20.2
2nd Road Series	5	10	-4.42	-29.5
3rd Road Series	0	3	-3.00	-100.0
L-->L	5	3	2.15	26.9
R-->R	16	20	-4.88	-13.6
L-->R	8	13	-5.23	-24.9
R-->L	4	17	-14.71	-70.0
Diff. Orientation	12	30	-19.94	-47.5
opTeam Diff. Orientation	18	20	-0.76	-2.0

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

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