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Handicapping the Washington Nationals

Last Updated: 7/5/08

Last 5 Games 6/30/08 @Marlins   L5-6 vs R 7/1/08 @Marlins   W9-6 vs L 7/2/08 @Marlins   L2-4 vs R 7/3/08 @Reds   L3-5 vs R 7/4/08 @Reds   L0-3 vs R Next 5 Games 7/5/08 @Reds   TBD vs R 7/6/08 @Reds   TBD - 7/8/08 Diamondbacks   TBD - 7/9/08 Diamondbacks   TBD - 7/10/08 Diamondbacks   TBD - 2008 Scores/Schedule Today's Pitching Matchups Redding(R) vs Fogg(R)

Record 34-54 (overall) 18-26 (home) 16-28 (road) Average Runs/Game 3.80 (last 5) 3.50 (last 10) 3.55 (last 20) 3.63 (season) WINS Last X 4 (last 10) 8 (last 20)

Pitcher	Record	Units
Perez(L)	7-8	0.43
Chico(L)	2-6	-3.15
Redding(R)	13-4	11.60
Bergmann(R)	2-9	-6.63
Lannan(L)	4-13	-7.91
Hill(R)	3-8	-4.99
O'Connor(L)	0-1	-1.17
Mock(R)	0-2	-2.09
Clippard(R)	1-1	0.85
Balester(R)	1-0	1.27

Angle	W	L	Units	E[x]
1st Half of Season	32	49	-9.75	-12.0
2nd half of season	2	5	-2.59	-37.0
National League	26	44	-12.93	-18.5
American League	8	10	0.59	3.3
Divsional Rival	14	21	-3.01	-8.6
Non-Divsional Rival	12	23	-9.92	-28.3
Interleague Game	8	10	0.59	3.3
As a dog	30	40	0.39	0.6
As a favorite	4	14	-12.73	-70.7
Off a win	12	22	-6.68	-19.6
Off a loss	21	32	-7.18	-13.5
Off being shut out	1	8	-7.67	-85.2
Off scoring DD	2	2	1.19	29.8
Series Game 1	13	16	-0.30	-1.0
Series Game 2	7	22	-12.63	-43.6
Series Game 3	11	14	-1.53	-6.1
Series Game 4	2	2	0.60	15.0
At Home	18	26	-8.47	-19.3
On the Road	16	28	-3.87	-8.8
Off LL	13	18	-2.78	-9.0
Off WW	4	8	-2.95	-24.6
5+ WL10	8	12	-4.88	-24.4
7+ WL10	2	4	-2.77	-46.2
<=3 WL10	14	24	-5.88	-15.5
<=5 WL10	29	49	-12.10	-15.5
Against team off SO	1	2	-0.97	-32.3
Vs. team off DD runs	4	7	-3.79	-34.5
Vs. team off W (G1)	6	8	-0.95	-6.8
Vs. team off L (G1)	6	8	-1.20	-8.6
Off W (G1)	6	8	-1.04	-7.4
Off L (G1)	7	8	0.74	4.9
1st Home Series	4	13	-10.49	-61.7
2nd Home Series	6	11	-4.61	-27.1
3rd Home Series	4	1	3.50	70.0
4th Home Series	3	1	1.61	40.3
1st Road Series	9	13	0.53	2.4
2nd Road Series	6	11	-2.43	-14.3
3rd Road Series	1	4	-1.97	-39.4
L-->L	5	9	-4.74	-33.9
R-->R	9	22	-9.59	-30.9
L-->R	10	11	1.53	7.3
R-->L	9	12	-1.06	-5.0
Diff. Orientation	19	23	0.47	1.1
opTeam Diff. Orientation	13	20	-3.49	-10.6

E[x] - Definition, E[x] vs Odds.

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