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Stolen Base Efficiency
by Jason Vernon
2006-04-18
Stolen Base Efficiency
A little over two weeks into the season the Major
League's stolen base efficiency is sitting at 73.2% -- the highest figure of the
past twenty years. Only a couple of times in those twenty years has one of
leagues broken 71% for the entire year. Most years the major league rate has
bounced between 67% and 70%. The increase in base stealing efficiency is
probably a result of the statistical revolution baseball has been undergoing for
the past ten years or so. Run expectancy charts show that a stolen base is
valuable only if you are successful between 70% and 75% of the time. Anything
under the 70% rate is pretty much putting your team behind the eight ball over
the course of the long season. It appears that field managers are finally
getting this message and employing the stolen base more
efficiently.
Three teams are perfect in the stolen base department so far
this year - the Orioles, Padres and Giants. Interestingly, no one would picture
these teams as being base stealing clubs, in particular the geriatric Giants.
Another eleven teams break the 80% stealing efficiency mark! The team with the
most steals is the Seattle Mariners who have swiped fourteen bags with Ichiro
Suzuki's five and Adrian Beltre's surprising four stolen bases leading the way.
Perhaps Beltre's compensating for his .143/.250/.143 line.
Ibanez's
Success Speaking of the Mariners, Raul Ibanez is looking to put up his third
straight solid season in Seattle. He's off to a fine start at .315/.367/.481 and
is well on his way to fully justifying the three year contract he corralled back
in the fall of 2003. The signing was widely panned at the time but since that
time Mariner General Manager Bill Bavasi has been proved right in his assertion
that Ibanez could offer the M's a solid middle of the order bat. Ibanez put up
lines of .304/.353/.472 in 2004 and .280/.355/.436 in 2005. This winter he was
extended an additional two years at $11 million. While Ichiro Suzuki is
considered the Mariners best player of the past couple of years, Ibanez is the
team's soul and leader.
Milestone On Sunday Alex Rodriguez passed his
boyhood idol, Cal Ripken, on the all-time homerun list with number 432 of his
career. This puts Rodriguez at 36th on the all-time list and on-track to top 500
in 2007.
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