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Cincinnati Reds Handicapping


If you followed my free baseball picks, you would have noticed that the Cincinnati Reds were my handicapping cryptonite. It seemed that whenever I picked them to win, they would lose. I was 8-14 (-6 units) betting on them in 2005.

The Reds typified the kind of a team an astute handicapper would want to bet on given the right situation. 1) They are a bad team. 2) The public does not like betting on them. 3) They have poor pitching to drive up their odds. 4) They have decent hitting. 5) Their horrible road record masked the fact that they were actually a decent team to bet on at home.

In 2006, they were 31-50 (-11 units) on the road but were 42-39 (+3 units) at home. The disparity was large so we tried to pick our spots betting on these Reds at home. We did not do a good job with these Reds but we had great success with other teams using the same methodology. (Read our article on the Devilrays)

The problem with the Reds is that they have horrible pitching from their starting rotation to their bullpen. We liked it in some sense because it gives us great odds.

The Reds were a great team to bet the Overs in 2005. In their home games, the average total score was 11.2 runs in 2005. Their average total score on the road was only 9.9 points. When people think about a lot of runs being scored, they think about the Rockies at home, they do not always think about the Reds.

Until they do, we will keep feasting their home overs whenever we find the right spots. und 5 runs a game against them and you can also find some decent overs as well in these games.

2007 Article Coming Soon...

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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