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« Interleague Games | Back to Guide | Non Division Rivalry Games » Guide to Betting Baseball Division Rivalry Games
Here are how these divisional rival teams fared under the following situations:
- As a dog [3414-4513, 191.10] (0.024)
- As a favorite [4875-3778, -603.42] (-0.070)
- Off a win [4240-3971, -142.37] (-0.017)
- Off a loss [3977-4251, -268.52] (-0.033)
- Off being shut out [412-439, -20.91] (-0.025)
- Off scoring DD [806-671, 63.69] (0.043)
- Series Game 1 [2583-2586, -135.16] (-0.026)
- Series Game 2 [2565-2566, -123.83] (-0.024)
- Series Game 3 [2287-2290, -116.09] (-0.025)
- Series Game 4 [625-625, -30.95] (-0.025)
- At Home [4425-3867, -290.47] (-0.035)
- On the Road [3866-4426, -119.85] (-0.014)
- In the Playoffs [38-38, -2.07] (-0.027)
- Off LL [2047-2272, -142.71] (-0.033)
- Off WW [2217-1996, -73.05] (-0.017)
- 5+ WL10 [4852-4455, -214.10] (-0.023)
- 7+ WL10 [1569-1320, -87.41] (-0.030)
- <=3 WL10 [1913-2142, -32.93] (-0.008)
- <=5 WL10 [5088-5548, -380.24] (-0.036)
- Against team off SO [438-412, -22.55] (-0.027)
- Vs. team off DD runs [670-806, -138.22] (-0.094)
- Vs. team off W (G1) [1237-1336, -131.55] (-0.051)
- Vs. team off L (G1) [1344-1245, -0.26] (-0.000)
- Off W (G1) [1336-1240, -8.44] (-0.003)
- Off L (G1) [1247-1346, -126.72] (-0.049)
Here are the Need-to-Knows
- Divisional rivals perform about 10 points better as an underdog than as a favorite.
- These teams are lethal if coming off a game in which they scored double digit runs. +64 units over the past 8 seasons.
- There is about 2 points more value in taking these teams if they are playing on the road than if they are playing at home.
- If it is the first game of a series, teams off a loss perform about 4.5 points worse than if they were coming into the game off a win.
Here are some statistics with respect to how teams in division rivalry games fared.
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Updated: 8/16/09
NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities
Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.
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