Guide to Betting Baseball Division Rivalry Games

Here are how these divisional rival teams fared under the following situations:

• As a dog [3414-4513, 191.10] (0.024)
• As a favorite [4875-3778, -603.42] (-0.070)
• Off a win [4240-3971, -142.37] (-0.017)
• Off a loss [3977-4251, -268.52] (-0.033)
• Off being shut out [412-439, -20.91] (-0.025)
• Off scoring DD [806-671, 63.69] (0.043)
• Series Game 1 [2583-2586, -135.16] (-0.026)
• Series Game 2 [2565-2566, -123.83] (-0.024)
• Series Game 3 [2287-2290, -116.09] (-0.025)
• Series Game 4 [625-625, -30.95] (-0.025)
• At Home [4425-3867, -290.47] (-0.035)
• On the Road [3866-4426, -119.85] (-0.014)
• In the Playoffs [38-38, -2.07] (-0.027)
• Off LL [2047-2272, -142.71] (-0.033)
• Off WW [2217-1996, -73.05] (-0.017)
• 5+ WL10 [4852-4455, -214.10] (-0.023)
• 7+ WL10 [1569-1320, -87.41] (-0.030)
• <=3 WL10 [1913-2142, -32.93] (-0.008)
• <=5 WL10 [5088-5548, -380.24] (-0.036)
• Against team off SO [438-412, -22.55] (-0.027)
• Vs. team off DD runs [670-806, -138.22] (-0.094)
• Vs. team off W (G1) [1237-1336, -131.55] (-0.051)
• Vs. team off L (G1) [1344-1245, -0.26] (-0.000)
• Off W (G1) [1336-1240, -8.44] (-0.003)
• Off L (G1) [1247-1346, -126.72] (-0.049)

Here are the Need-to-Knows

1. Divisional rivals perform about 10 points better as an underdog than as a favorite.
2. These teams are lethal if coming off a game in which they scored double digit runs. +64 units over the past 8 seasons.
3. There is about 2 points more value in taking these teams if they are playing on the road than if they are playing at home.
4. If it is the first game of a series, teams off a loss perform about 4.5 points worse than if they were coming into the game off a win.

Here are some statistics with respect to how teams in division rivalry games fared.

• Competitiveness of Division Rivalry Games in Baseball
• Pitcher orientation matters little in division rivalry games.
• Road favorites - non-division rivalry games system