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« Game 2 of a Series  |  Back to Guide  | Game 4 of a Series »

Guide to Betting Baseball Game 3 of a Series

Here are how teams in the third game of a series do.

  • As a dog [2262-3192, -92.24] (-0.017)
  • As a favorite [3432-2505, -180.84] (-0.030)
  • Off a win [2922-2776, -158.50] (-0.028)
  • Off a loss [2775-2925, -111.58] (-0.020)
  • Off being shut out [260-293, -38.31] (-0.069)
  • Off scoring DD [543-502, -8.29] (-0.008)
  • At Home [3024-2676, -197.46] (-0.035)
  • On the Road [2673-3025, -72.62] (-0.013)
  • Off LL [1357-1550, -85.33] (-0.029)
  • Off WW [1548-1357, -46.48] (-0.016)
  • 5+ WL10 [3517-3314, -246.79] (-0.036)
  • 7+ WL10 [1174-974, -47.42] (-0.022)
  • <=3 WL10 [1151-1271, 48.47] (0.020)
  • <=5 WL10 [3433-3663, -132.59] (-0.019)
  • Against team off SO [292-260, 8.70] (0.016)
  • Vs. team off DD runs [502-543, -38.47] (-0.037)
 

Here are the Need-to-Know

  1. If the team is off of a shut out, they are about 5 points overvalued. Basically this just means that for a team to be shut out in Game 2, the sportsbooks should adjust the spread 5 points against this team. Teams off of a shutout loss are generally good bets, this is why this particular angle has gone unnoticed for a long time. But game 3 is a special breed because it generally represents the last game in which two teams will face off. And if a team was shut out, they will generally find it hard to turn things around the day before they are expected to travel and play another team.
  2.  
 

Here are the betting systems and articles on this game.

(more will be written)

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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