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Guide to Betting Baseball Game 3 of a Series

Here are how teams in the third game of a series do.

• As a dog [2262-3192, -92.24] (-0.017)
• As a favorite [3432-2505, -180.84] (-0.030)
• Off a win [2922-2776, -158.50] (-0.028)
• Off a loss [2775-2925, -111.58] (-0.020)
• Off being shut out [260-293, -38.31] (-0.069)
• Off scoring DD [543-502, -8.29] (-0.008)
• At Home [3024-2676, -197.46] (-0.035)
• On the Road [2673-3025, -72.62] (-0.013)
• Off LL [1357-1550, -85.33] (-0.029)
• Off WW [1548-1357, -46.48] (-0.016)
• 5+ WL10 [3517-3314, -246.79] (-0.036)
• 7+ WL10 [1174-974, -47.42] (-0.022)
• <=3 WL10 [1151-1271, 48.47] (0.020)
• <=5 WL10 [3433-3663, -132.59] (-0.019)
• Against team off SO [292-260, 8.70] (0.016)
• Vs. team off DD runs [502-543, -38.47] (-0.037)

 

Here are the Need-to-Know

1. If the team is off of a shut out, they are about 5 points overvalued. Basically this just means that for a team to be shut out in Game 2, the sportsbooks should adjust the spread 5 points against this team. Teams off of a shutout loss are generally good bets, this is why this particular angle has gone unnoticed for a long time. But game 3 is a special breed because it generally represents the last game in which two teams will face off. And if a team was shut out, they will generally find it hard to turn things around the day before they are expected to travel and play another team.
 

 

Here are the betting systems and articles on this game.

• Game 3 of a Series Dynamics

(more will be written)