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« Game 3 of a Series  |  Back to Guide  | on the Playoffs »

Guide to Betting Baseball Game 4 of a Series

Here are how teams in the fourth game of a series do:

  • As a dog [420-616, -28.39] (-0.027)
  • As a favorite [665-469, -24.78] (-0.022)
  • Off a win [541-544, -61.67] (-0.057)
  • Off a loss [544-541, 8.50] (0.008)
  • Off being shut out [67-48, 22.76] (0.198)
  • Off scoring DD [107-72, 29.92] (0.167)
  • At Home [567-518, -59.98] (-0.055)
  • On the Road [518-567, 6.81] (0.006)
  • Off LL [262-292, -7.40] (-0.013)
  • Off WW [292-262, -20.08] (-0.036)
  • 5+ WL10 [706-623, -2.43] (-0.002)
  • 7+ WL10 [218-176, -10.66] (-0.027)
  • <=3 WL10 [189-244, -24.52] (-0.057)
  • <=5 WL10 [618-703, -58.94] (-0.045)
  • Against team off SO [48-67, -29.96] (-0.261)
  • Vs. team off DD runs [72-107, -38.25] (-0.214)

Here are some Need-to-Knows

  • Interleague teams don't play 4 game series'.
  • The road team in the fourth game of a series has a 6 point advantage over the home team in the game. This is because as the series wears on, the home field advatage goes to inconsequential in the fourth game. This is because the effects of travel on the road team does not exist. The familiarity with the fans and ball park no longer rests solely on the home team. And the road team generally takes the game more seriously because they always want to end a road series with a win to take some momentum to their next series.
  • Teams that were shut out in game 2 do poorly in game 3 but they do incredibly well in the fourth game of a series.
  • Teams that score double digit runs in game 3 are also very strong bets in the fourth game of a series. Because by the time you get to the fourth game of a series, status quo dominates.

Here are some articles and betting systems with respect to the fourth game of a series.

(more will be written)

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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