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« Game 3 of a Series | Back to Guide | on the Playoffs » Guide to Betting Baseball Game 4 of a Series
Here are how teams in the fourth game of a series do:
- As a dog [420-616, -28.39] (-0.027)
- As a favorite [665-469, -24.78] (-0.022)
- Off a win [541-544, -61.67] (-0.057)
- Off a loss [544-541, 8.50] (0.008)
- Off being shut out [67-48, 22.76] (0.198)
- Off scoring DD [107-72, 29.92] (0.167)
- At Home [567-518, -59.98] (-0.055)
- On the Road [518-567, 6.81] (0.006)
- Off LL [262-292, -7.40] (-0.013)
- Off WW [292-262, -20.08] (-0.036)
- 5+ WL10 [706-623, -2.43] (-0.002)
- 7+ WL10 [218-176, -10.66] (-0.027)
- <=3 WL10 [189-244, -24.52] (-0.057)
- <=5 WL10 [618-703, -58.94] (-0.045)
- Against team off SO [48-67, -29.96] (-0.261)
- Vs. team off DD runs [72-107, -38.25] (-0.214)
Here are some Need-to-Knows
- Interleague teams don't play 4 game series'.
- The road team in the fourth game of a series has a 6 point advantage over the home team in the game. This is because as the series wears on, the home field advatage goes to inconsequential in the fourth game. This is because the effects of travel on the road team does not exist. The familiarity with the fans and ball park no longer rests solely on the home team. And the road team generally takes the game more seriously because they always want to end a road series with a win to take some momentum to their next series.
- Teams that were shut out in game 2 do poorly in game 3 but they do incredibly well in the fourth game of a series.
- Teams that score double digit runs in game 3 are also very strong bets in the fourth game of a series. Because by the time you get to the fourth game of a series, status quo dominates.
Here are some articles and betting systems with respect to the fourth game of a series.
(more will be written)
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Updated: 8/16/09
NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities
Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.
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