Receive a Free Month of Picks
Quality Picks with Analysis Daily by 6AM EST
Starting tomorrow, cancel anytime
Join our premium service and we'll give you the highest rated plays each day.
Picks for MLB, NFL, NBA.
See our MLB results. |
| Join Our Free Mailing List |
|
|
Receive premium picks for free!!
|
Add us to your favorites!
Premium Systems Ebook - $49.95
This is a document only! It is meant for you to learn how to handicap baseball. If you want the daily picks, sign up for our monthly service. See 2 Free Samples!
|
|
NEW: Follow us on Twitter!
Easy Baseball Betting |
Rated a Top 20 Baseball Betting Handicapper by the National Sports Monitor.
Bookies admit they lose money during the baseball season. Learn the systems necessary to pull large profits this and every baseball season.
Expected Value
I will often be talking about expected value when I speak of betting systems because it is a measure of how much better a team does versus the odds. For example, we expect home teams to win at a higher percentage than road teams but they will be at a higher chalk.
The expected value of a game is dependent on the odds and the percentage of winning. It tells us how much I expect to win per average bet. The equations for expected value are:
Favorites
E[x] = (100*Pw) - (1-Pw)(Odds)
Underdogs
E[x] = (Odds*Pw) - (1-Pw)(100)
Pw = Probability of Winning
Setting E[x] = 0 and solving for Pw yields the break even percentage.
|
|
Free Football Picks
Updated: 10/27/12
NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities
Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.
Your Link Here - $50/mo
|
