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« 4/28/2007 | 4/30/2007 » 4/29/2007 - Our Free Picks
We are betting on the same 3 games as yesterday but our picks are different.
- Baltimore Orioles +143 over Cleveland Indians (1.0 Units) - Teams that break a long losing streak with a win generally find themselves winning their next game. Well actually it is more psychological. The public sees that a bad/horrible/struggling team win and think they should fade them their next game. But this theory of fading the team should not happen. And that adds value to taking them.
- Houston Astros -105 over Milwaukee Brewers (1.0 Units) - The Astros finally broke out of their slump in a big way yesterday. They smashed up 10 total runs. Incredible stuff for a team that didn't score even 10 runs in like a million games in a row. Well this bodes well for the Astros today. I know we picked the Brewers two games in a row (winning our game of the year on Friday) but in the third game of a series, the winner of the second game has the advantage under certain circumstances. And this falls into them. Look, they are playing early in the morning and they have to play on Monday at home against the hated Cardinals. They are going to be looking ahead as they will not care so much about this game. The Astros have a day off and will take their momentum and concentration into this game.
- Boston Red Sox +174 over New York Yankees (1.0 Units) - Tavarez is horrible but if he struggles, you better damn well know that the Red Sox will not mind to yank him out. They want to win this game badly. They do not want the Yankees to have any confidence leaving the series because it might snowball into success for the Yankees. So the Red Sox will playing this third game pretty tough. Then you need to realize that C. Wang has not pitched for a while. Do you really believe he is at 100%? If not, then you cannot tell me that the Yankees should be giving up so much juice. The value is on the Red Sox.
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4/29/2007 Games - Daily Stat SheetsNewsletter
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