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Home Field Advantages - Breakdown by Series

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Home Field Advantage (Cont'd)
Win Percentages within a Series

Analyzing the home field advantage further, I noticed interesting correlations between a home team's winning percentage and the game number in a series.

	Game 1: 54.2%
	Game 2: 53.8%
	Game 3: 53.5%
	Game 4: 50.2%
  

The home field advantage decreases as the series progresses to the point that by Game 4 of the series, the home field advantage is nullified. Our records indicate that the oddsmakers have not appropriately adjusted for this Game 4 phenomenon and as a result, very successful systems exist for this.

Explanation: It is important to be able to explain phenomenon and systems that are uncovered to keep from utilizing systems that are statistical aberrations. The fact of the matter is, this phenomenon makes perfect sense. Baseball teams generally play everyday and Game 1's are tough for the road team generally having to travel into a new city. By game 4, the effects of travelling subside and nullify the home field advantage.

« MORE ON HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE (Page 1)

MORE ON HOME FIELD ADVANTAGE >> (Page 3)

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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/27/12

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Orioles 93-69 +41.76
Athletics 94-68 +40.30
Nationals 98-64 +27.78
Giants 94-68 +23.57
Reds 97-65 +20.87
Full Table >>
Home
Athletics 50-31 +20.95
Orioles 47-34 +14.14
Nationals 50-31 +12.19
Reds 50-31 +8.39
Giants 48-33 +8.34
Full Table >>
Road
Orioles 46-35 +27.62
Athletics 44-37 +19.35
Braves 46-35 +16.83
Nationals 48-33 +15.59
Giants 46-35 +15.23
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Athletics 64-39 +34.98
Orioles 67-52 +28.93
Braves 65-38 +25.38
Nationals 70-45 +21.99
Reds 65-49 +6.64
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Giants 41-20 +24.22
Reds 32-16 +14.23
Orioles 26-17 +12.83
Cardinals 31-17 +9.96
Nationals 28-19 +5.79
Full Table >>

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