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April 4, 2008 Baseball Picks

Los Angeles Angels -137 over Texas Rangers (1.0 Units) - The Los Angeles are 3-1 and atop the AL West thanks to three straight victories. A four game road trip is never easy but these Angels are coming home to play against a Texas team that will be playing in its second straight road series.

We are very fond of betting on teams that enter a series off a win if their opponent is coming into it off a loss. This angle, alone, would have won you money in each of the past 9 seasons for a hit rate of 54% (1946-1666). It was +16 units last year and will be bound to be a success this year as well. This angle works because momentum is so important in baseball and entering a season off a win gives yourself that extra little bit of an advantage.

Considering the Rangers will be playing on the road for the second straight series this year, we would expect their spirits to be a little low as they are hurried into the pace of baseball a bit earlier than their bodies can handle.

The Angels will be facing their first lefty starter of the season and that is what keeps us from wanting to bet on this game any more than the units expressed in the play.