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April 18, 2008 Baseball Picks

Baltimore Orioles (127) over New York Yankees (1.5 Units) - When a team plays a tough game they usually don't perform so well in their very next game. The Yankees are in such a situation today as they try to bounce back from a loss against the Red Sox. We've found that going against the Yankees is +21 units in the first game following a series against the Red Sox! And if they are forced to play a divisonal rival, like these Orioles are, they are [12-9, +13 units]. The Yankees bullpen has pitched a total of 11 innings over the past 2 games which will not bode well for them today if it is a tight game. This game is action regardless of pitcher.

Cincinnati Reds (114) over Milwaukee Brewers (1.0 Units) - The Reds bounced back yesterday with a win after a long stretch of road losses. Keep that in mind, it was on the road that they struggled so now as they play the Brewers at home, different rules apply. Home teams that break a string of 4+ consecutive road losses bounce back at home with a [20-10, +8 units] record the past 2 seasons. Now you have these Brewers that have been on the road for a long stretch of time. We've talked about going against teams in their third or fourth consecutive road series for quite a while now and this case is no different.