May 1, 2008 Baseball Picks
Toronto Blue Jays (109) over Boston Red Sox (1.0 Units) -
With baseball, the general rule of thumb is to bet on teams when they are up 2-0 in a series but to bet against them when they are up 3-0 in a series. But we feel that today's game is a bit different.
Road divisional rival dogs down 2-0 in a series are on a tear dating back to the beginning of the 2006 season as they are [110-100, +34 units] during that span.
Divisional rival dogs that have lost two consecutive games by 1 run or more are [89-99, +24 units] dating back the beginning of 9 seasons ago.
AL Dogs with a win percentage less than 40% are [418-579, +74 units] dating back 9 seasons.
