May 7, 2008 Baseball Picks

Following up a Monday GOY winner and a Tuesday GOM winner is not easy but we've got two nice favorites for you here today. They are only rated as an average pick but because they are favorites, we really like our chances of getting a sweep today.

Los Angeles Dodgers (-123) over New York Mets (1.0 Units)

The Dodgers are in a very interesting scenario that involves betting on teams off of a 1-run win. It is actually better to look for motivated teams coming off a 1-run loss because it is the loss that motivates a team to start playing small ball and working the count. But here's how the Dodgers case is different.

The Dodgers ran up innings on their bullpen but today they have their ace on the mound who should be able to handle a lot of innings... meaning the tired bullpen should not harm them.

The Mets actually batted against Kuo, a lefty for almost 4 innings -- making their facing Penny, a righty, a bit tougher than normal.

The Dodgers are fighting for a home sweep against a non-divisional rival with their ACE on the mound -- something that is generally a very strong bet when aligned with other factors.

So we like that we are getting these Dodgers at -123..