EasyBaseballBetting.com - May 24

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Houston Astros (106) over Philadelphia Phillies (1.0 Units) -

We lost both our underdogs yesterday so we are prone to be a little shy with the Astros today but the Phillies are not in the greatest of positions at least not to justify them as favorites.

First off, the Astros are 14-8 at home this season and in the third game of a series, the team to benefit would be the winner of Game 2. There's also the cockiness factor of Brad Lidge after his save in game 1 that could come back to haunt him at some point in this series. A close game like this game 3 is projected to be (according to the odds) that would a prime time for the Astros to put a dent in his confidence.

The other thing is that the Phillies have lost Myers' past 5 starts. He's faced the Astros before at home so with the familiarity and the home field advantage, the Astros could take advantage. This game is action on Brett Myers pitching for the Phillies.

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Boston Red Sox (-134) over Oakland Athletics (1.0 Units) -

The Athletics broke the Red Sox' impressive home winning streak Friday night and now we are on their bandwagon. Okay I bet you are all are about to say there is nothing "impressive" about Red Sox winning seven straight at home against the Brewers and Royals and although you may be right, keep in mind that they did that after having lost four straight games on the road with two days of rest and then a double header. For them to keep their composure on those two days off and then sweep in a doubleheader is impressive to us. Now that they are back on the road, there's the risk of seeing this team return to their woeful ways on the road but we get them at a decent price...

We took a look at how teams did after having lost a game that broke a 5+ game winning streak and specifically honed in on teams that were road favorites. They were pretty unimpressive... about -12 units in about 212 games played, which is about what you'd get if you completely bet 212 games at random. But if we add the stipulation that this will be a revenge game going up against the same opponent that beat them, it improves to +13 units in about 141 games played. These teams are 10 points undervalued. And if we demand that these teams are non-divisional rivals, it is still +13 units but spread over a much smaller sample size (78 games).... meaning that this system is [51-27, +13 units] with the teams undervalued by about 16.5 points a game.

So we like the fact that these Red Sox are in a position to bounce back and continue on with another winning streak.