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Who do you think will win the World Series?
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Picks for 8/1/09

Result: -3.82 units

Sorry for the weak analysis here in today's games. A bit busy at the moment.

Oakland Athletics (107) over Toronto Blue Jays (1.0 Units) -

The Athletics are underdogs at home and averaging almost 7 runs a game L5. This means they will be a good play today.

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Texas Rangers (110) over Seattle Mariners (1.5 Units) -

The Rangers are on fire and they are an underdog at home? I don't care who the opposing pitcher, these odds are a steal.

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New York Yankees (-134) over Chicago White Sox (1.0 Units) -

If home divisional rival dogs are a good value then to balance things out, non-divisional road favorites are a good bet. Home dogs are undervalued if playing a divisional rival but overvalued if playing a divisional rival. This means the Yankees are a good bet. Since they are in the midst of a heated AL East race, we like them in their bounceback position today in trying to not lose three in a row.


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Updated: 8/16/09

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Angels 69-45 +22.95
Rangers 65-50 +17.70
Dodgers 69-48 +13.78
Rockies 64-52 +13.13
Marlins 62-54 +12.72
Full Table >>
Home
Giants 39-20 +16.41
Tigers 38-18 +14.76
Rangers 38-22 +12.49
D'rays 37-19 +10.47
Red Sox 38-18 +8.73
Full Table >>
Road
Phillies 36-20 +18.37
Angels 33-23 +14.60
Rockies 32-29 +9.61
Marlins 29-27 +9.27
Dodgers 33-26 +9.19
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Rangers 41-29 +14.54
Dodgers 50-35 +11.90
Rockies 44-34 +10.68
Angels 44-34 +8.98
Mariners 42-36 +7.40
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Angels 25-11 +13.97
Marlins 24-14 +12.81
Giants 18-12 +6.12
Braves 24-16 +5.73
White Sox 22-16 +5.42
Full Table >>

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