Picks for 8/3/09

Result: +1.00 units

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (-130) over Kansas City Royals (1.0 Units) -

If you've been closely following our picks for the past several months, you'd realize that we almost always go against Zack Greinke. The Royals won his first 6 starts of the season. And whenever a pitcher has a great start to a season, that image sticks in the minds of gamblers... So much so that even once they hit a rough patch during the season, they still unfortunately are overvalued. The Royals have lost in Greinke's last 6 starts and lost 2 of his last 12 starts. It makes absolutely no sense for the Rays to only be -130 today.

The Rays' loss yesterday makes sense. It was the 3rd game of the series, and they are 10-20, -15 units in that spot this season... We expect them to bounce back today against a weak road team with a weary pitcher on the mound.