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Picks for 8/3/09

Result: +1.00 units

Tampa Bay Devil Rays (-130) over Kansas City Royals (1.0 Units) -

If you've been closely following our picks for the past several months, you'd realize that we almost always go against Zack Greinke. The Royals won his first 6 starts of the season. And whenever a pitcher has a great start to a season, that image sticks in the minds of gamblers... So much so that even once they hit a rough patch during the season, they still unfortunately are overvalued. The Royals have lost in Greinke's last 6 starts and lost 2 of his last 12 starts. It makes absolutely no sense for the Rays to only be -130 today.

The Rays' loss yesterday makes sense. It was the 3rd game of the series, and they are 10-20, -15 units in that spot this season... We expect them to bounce back today against a weak road team with a weary pitcher on the mound.


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Updated: 8/16/09

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Angels 69-45 +22.95
Rangers 65-50 +17.70
Dodgers 69-48 +13.78
Rockies 64-52 +13.13
Marlins 62-54 +12.72
Full Table >>
Home
Giants 39-20 +16.41
Tigers 38-18 +14.76
Rangers 38-22 +12.49
D'rays 37-19 +10.47
Red Sox 38-18 +8.73
Full Table >>
Road
Phillies 36-20 +18.37
Angels 33-23 +14.60
Rockies 32-29 +9.61
Marlins 29-27 +9.27
Dodgers 33-26 +9.19
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Rangers 41-29 +14.54
Dodgers 50-35 +11.90
Rockies 44-34 +10.68
Angels 44-34 +8.98
Mariners 42-36 +7.40
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Angels 25-11 +13.97
Marlins 24-14 +12.81
Giants 18-12 +6.12
Braves 24-16 +5.73
White Sox 22-16 +5.42
Full Table >>

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