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Picks for 8/6/09

Result: +2.03 units

Los Angeles Angels (135) over Chicago White Sox (1.5 Units) -

We had a loser day two days ago because we lost a -219 favorite so we'll try to stick with the dogs. And the Angels here are a potent one today.

First of all, the Angels are better against lefties than they are against righties.

Against lefties, these Angels are 21-10, ++11.4 units. Against righties, they are still a respectable 41-32, +8.7 units but the record does not compare to how good they are against lefties.

Next off, these Anges are the best at the back end of a series. In the first two games of a series, they are only 37-31, +3.4 units. But if you look at how they do in the 3rd and 4th games of a series, they are 25-9, +18.6 units.

And finally, these Angels are 14-3, +12.5 units if they are off two or more consecutive losses.

These Angels fall into ALL THREE of those fantastic angles today.

And on top of that, they fall into a fantastic betting system of ours that involves betting on a team that is looking to avoid a sweep. You see, they are averaging 8.2 runs the past 5 games. Even averaging 7 runs the past 20 games. With that said, do you not think that they would be primed to avoid a sweep today?

Also, Danks is no good as a favorite. He's just 5-6, -2.3 units in that spot. Even -1 units when pitching at home. So he's not a pitcher we are worried about.

The White Sox may be a good home team and all but no team is better on the road than these Angels. They are 31-22, +14 units.

So they are in a prime spot today in so many levels and we get them at a dog's price. Easy play to make.


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Updated: 8/16/09

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Angels 69-45 +22.95
Rangers 65-50 +17.70
Dodgers 69-48 +13.78
Rockies 64-52 +13.13
Marlins 62-54 +12.72
Full Table >>
Home
Giants 39-20 +16.41
Tigers 38-18 +14.76
Rangers 38-22 +12.49
D'rays 37-19 +10.47
Red Sox 38-18 +8.73
Full Table >>
Road
Phillies 36-20 +18.37
Angels 33-23 +14.60
Rockies 32-29 +9.61
Marlins 29-27 +9.27
Dodgers 33-26 +9.19
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Rangers 41-29 +14.54
Dodgers 50-35 +11.90
Rockies 44-34 +10.68
Angels 44-34 +8.98
Mariners 42-36 +7.40
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Angels 25-11 +13.97
Marlins 24-14 +12.81
Giants 18-12 +6.12
Braves 24-16 +5.73
White Sox 22-16 +5.42
Full Table >>

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