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Picks for 8/10/09

Result: +0.18 units

By going 2-0 yesterday, we've bumped up our monthly total to being +1.43 units.

Today, we've got two dogs for you all.

Cincinnati Reds (153) over St. Louis Cardinals (1.0 Units) -

The Reds have a tendency to always play the Cardinals tough no matter how good or bad they are as a team. There was a point in time in the season that we thought they had a chance. They were 40-41 in the first 81 games of the season but are 8-21 since then. They are pretty much out of it but a game against the Cardinals would get them to play better than they have in recent times. They are -8 units in non-divisional rival games, -3 units in interleague games but +1.4 units in divisional rival games.

The pitcher angles are also on the Reds' side. The Cardinals are 5-10 in Lohse's games, including 0-2 against the Reds. And the Reds are 7-5, +3 units in Cueto's road starts.

Take this game action on a Lohse vs Cueto matchup.

----------------------------

Seattle Mariners (118) over Chicago White Sox (1.0 Units) -

The Mariners are definitely a team you want to watch out for right now. They are 8 games behind in the AL West but are 4.5 games behind in the wild card race. The Red Sox just got swept by the Yankees and the Rangers-Angels battled it out this past weekend. So all this should wake up the Mariners today if they have a chance.

So we'll give them the benefit of the doubt because they are playing at home and despite the fact that they are not really racking up the wins, they are averaging 5.6 runs a game L10 and 7 runs a game L5.


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Updated: 8/16/09

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Angels 69-45 +22.95
Rangers 65-50 +17.70
Dodgers 69-48 +13.78
Rockies 64-52 +13.13
Marlins 62-54 +12.72
Full Table >>
Home
Giants 39-20 +16.41
Tigers 38-18 +14.76
Rangers 38-22 +12.49
D'rays 37-19 +10.47
Red Sox 38-18 +8.73
Full Table >>
Road
Phillies 36-20 +18.37
Angels 33-23 +14.60
Rockies 32-29 +9.61
Marlins 29-27 +9.27
Dodgers 33-26 +9.19
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Rangers 41-29 +14.54
Dodgers 50-35 +11.90
Rockies 44-34 +10.68
Angels 44-34 +8.98
Mariners 42-36 +7.40
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
Angels 25-11 +13.97
Marlins 24-14 +12.81
Giants 18-12 +6.12
Braves 24-16 +5.73
White Sox 22-16 +5.42
Full Table >>

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