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Picks for 7/20/09
Result: +1.00 units
Texas Rangers (100) over Boston Red Sox (1.0 Units) - The Rangers are not exactly a very popular bet with gamblers today but that is exactly the reason to bet them. Almost 60% of the action is on these Red Sox today with Smoltz on the mound. The true odds of this game should be something like Red Sox +110 but because there's so much betting action the moneyline moved 20 points so that they were favorites. It could not move too much or else the Rangers would become undervalued by such a large margin that the sportsbooks would be exposing themselves.
With that said, these Rangers are a great home team with a very potent offense. These Rangers are coming off a win in which they broke a losing streak that featured few runs being scored. We believe the Rangers will be ready to start this new series today well to continue the positive momentum they ended their last series with. These Rangers are a steady +8 units off a win this season while only break even off a loss.
The Red Sox have not done that great on the road so we could expect the Rangers to pull a tight one out. Lastly, the Rangers have Millwood on the mound and these Rangers are 8-2 at home with Milwood on the mound.
Take this game action on Millwood pitching. And as for Smoltz with the Red Sox, the dude has yet to piece it together.
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Today's Premium System Plays
Royals falls into the following premium systems: CG
