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Picks for 7/27/09

Result: 0.00 units

We are +17 units since the All Star break and seriously kicking some butt. We've got just 2 plays for you. We went a cool 6-0 on Friday and 3-1 on the weekend,

Los Angeles Dodgers (158) over St. Louis Cardinals (1.5 Units) -

The Dodgers went 1-2 in their series against the Marlins. We correctly picked them in the game they won and central to our reasoning for betting them was the fact that they were off a loss.

So today, we've got them not only off a loss but off a series loss!

As we said earlier, these Dodgers are 25-10 off a loss.

These Dodgers have plenty of motivation when it comes to that respect but also check out how the Dodgers do as a dog... they are 18-8, having a better record as a dog than as a favorite. This means that they like to win those games they are expected to lose... or more precisely, they come to play in the toughest of games!

Proof positive of that is the fact that they are exceptional in the divisional rival games but just 9-9 in interleague play.

With Chris Carpenter on the mound, we expect these Dodgers to bring their A-game.

The Cardinals, themselves, are in an extremely weak position. They traveled from Houston to DC on the 22nd, then to Philadelphia on the 23rd, and now back home to St. Louis last night. Three travels in a period of just a few days. Couple that with the fact that they score almost a run less against lefties than they do righties and we've got the makings of a very tired Cardinals lineup that is not going to have the energy to score much runs.

-----------------------------

Texas Rangers (-128) over Detroit Tigers (1.5 Units) -

I guess we were fools to take the Tigers again yesterday. Go against them. They have not bounced back in the past two times we've taken them and that's a sign they are really struggling right now.

One team that isn't struggling are these Rangers. So we've got to take the home team in such a situation... especially when the odds are pretty favorable today.

Not only that, these Rangers are kick ass at home...


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Free Football Picks

Updated: 10/13/11

NEW: Pitcher Home/Road Disparities

Bold indicates team falls into that angle today.

Overall
Diamondbacks 94-68 +27.70
Brewers 96-66 +20.77
Tigers 95-67 +19.91
Phillies 102-60 +14.30
Rangers 96-66 +13.34
Full Table >>
Home
Brewers 57-24 +25.23
Diamondbacks 51-30 +13.96
Rangers 52-29 +7.69
Tigers 50-31 +7.61
Yankees 52-29 +7.38
Full Table >>
Road
Mets 43-38 +17.61
Diamondbacks 43-38 +13.74
Tigers 45-36 +12.30
Cardinals 45-36 +10.67
White Sox 43-38 +10.61
Full Table >>
vs Righty
Diamondbacks 70-44 +29.54
Brewers 78-48 +23.42
Rangers 70-45 +13.60
Tigers 65-47 +12.66
Cardinals 71-52 +8.41
Full Table >>
vs Lefty
D'rays 31-19 +14.26
Yankees 34-17 +12.92
Phillies 30-13 +9.49
Tigers 30-20 +7.25
Giants 26-18 +6.32
Full Table >>

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